AI Match Insights
Thai League 1 May 12, 2023
Muangthong United
HomeVS
11:00
Ratchaburi
AwayAI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Muangthong United Win
Draw
Ratchaburi Win
Home Win
(55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
Combined: 47%
Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 3.09 - 1.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 1.2
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Muangthong United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Ratchaburi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
2-0 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
Under 2.5 Goals
29%
Muangthong United Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30 | Muangthonā¦ vs Chiangraiā¦ | 1-2 |
| Feb 25 | Muangthonā¦ vs Bangkok Gā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Muangthonā¦ vs Chonburi ā¦ | 0-1 |
| Feb 12 | Muangthonā¦ vs Buriram Uā¦ | 4-4 |
| Feb 08 | Muangthonā¦ vs Chiangraiā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Muangthonā¦ vs Nakhon Raā¦ | 3-0 |
| Jan 25 | Muangthonā¦ vs Buriram Uā¦ | 1-2 |
| Nov 19 | Muangthonā¦ vs Chiangraiā¦ | 3-1 |
| Oct 01 | Muangthonā¦ vs Bangkok Gā¦ | 3-0 |
| Sep 17 | Muangthonā¦ vs Chonburi ā¦ | 1-5 |
Ratchaburi Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30 | Ratchaburi vs Bangkok Gā¦ | 4-2 |
| Apr 26 | Ratchaburi vs Bangkok Gā¦ | 2-1 |
| Apr 22 | Ratchaburi vs Prachuap | 1-1 |
| Apr 09 | Ratchaburi vs Port FC | 1-0 |
| Apr 02 | Ratchaburi vs Nakhon Raā¦ | 1-1 |
| Mar 19 | Ratchaburi vs Chonburi ā¦ | 1-2 |
| Mar 11 | Ratchaburi vs Chiangraiā¦ | 0-0 |
| Mar 04 | Ratchaburi vs Sukhothaiā¦ | 1-1 |
| Nov 30 | Ratchaburi vs Chiangraiā¦ | 1-2 |
| Nov 20 | Ratchaburi vs Bangkok Gā¦ | 3-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Ratchaburi struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2022 | Ratchaburi | 1 - 0 | Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Jan 26, 2022 | Ratchaburi | 0 - 1 | Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 24, 2021 | Muangthong United | 2 - 1 | Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Muangthong United Power
0
Ratchaburi Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
14
Muangthong United Position-12
Position Gap2
Ratchaburi Position
Home Win Rate: 16%
Away Win Rate: 63%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.