AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Thai League 1 Aug 13, 2022

Ratchaburi

Home
VS
11:00

Muangthong United

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Ratchaburi Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Muangthong United Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 88%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.36 - 0.83
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.8 Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ratchaburi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Muangthong United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Ratchaburi Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 30 Ratchaburi vs Chonburi ā€¦ 2-2
Apr 16 Ratchaburi vs Nakhon Raā€¦ 1-0
Apr 09 Ratchaburi vs Port FC 3-2
Mar 19 Ratchaburi vs Prachuap 1-0
Jan 26 Ratchaburi vs Muangthonā€¦ 0-1
Jan 15 Ratchaburi vs Chiangraiā€¦ 0-1
Jan 08 Ratchaburi vs Bangkok Gā€¦ 1-1
Nov 28 Ratchaburi vs Chonburi ā€¦ 3-0
Nov 24 Ratchaburi vs Chiangraiā€¦ 0-4
Nov 14 Ratchaburi vs Nakhon Raā€¦ 3-2
Muangthong United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 01 Muangthonā€¦ vs Nakhon Raā€¦ 2-0
Feb 27 Muangthonā€¦ vs Chiangraiā€¦ 1-1
Jan 29 Muangthonā€¦ vs Buriram Uā€¦ 0-1
Jan 26 Muangthonā€¦ vs Ratchaburi 0-1
Jan 16 Muangthonā€¦ vs Bangkok Gā€¦ 2-2
Jan 09 Muangthonā€¦ vs Chonburi ā€¦ 1-1
Nov 27 Muangthonā€¦ vs Nakhon Raā€¦ 4-1
Oct 17 Muangthonā€¦ vs Chiangraiā€¦ 0-1
Oct 13 Muangthonā€¦ vs Bangkok Gā€¦ 2-1
Sep 24 Muangthonā€¦ vs Ratchaburi 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ratchaburi struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 26, 2022 Ratchaburi 0 - 1 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Sep 24, 2021 Muangthong United 2 - 1 Ratchaburi Thai League 1
Final Verdict

PRO: Ratchaburi to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ratchaburi Power 0
Muangthong United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Ratchaburi Position

+12

Position Gap

14

Muangthong United Position
Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 16%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.