AI Match Insights

Championnat National Apr 28, 2021

Buffles

Home
VS
15:00

Dragons

Away
AI Predictions 42.0% Confidence
Buffles Win
30.0%
Draw
28.0%
Dragons Win
42.0%
Away Win (42% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.20 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.5 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Buffles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Dragons Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
Buffles Form 50%

No recent form data available

Dragons Form 12.5%
Date Match Result
Mar 17 Dragons vs ASVO Coto… 1-1
Mar 13 Dragons vs Ayema 0-0
Feb 13 Dragons vs ASVO Coto… 0-1
Feb 06 Dragons vs Ayema 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Buffles to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Buffles Power 0
Dragons Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Buffles Position

+9

Position Gap

11

Dragons Position

Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.