AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pernambucano - 1 Jan 12, 2025

Retrô FC Brasil

Home
VS
20:00

Maguary PE

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Retrô FC Brasil Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Maguary PE Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 49%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.19 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Retrô FC Brasil Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Maguary PE Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (25%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Under 2.5 Goals 84%
Retrô FC Brasil Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 17 Retrô FC … vs Nautico R… 1-0
Mar 10 Retrô FC … vs Nautico R… 1-0
Feb 18 Retrô FC … vs Nautico R… 1-0
Feb 15 Retrô FC … vs Santa Cru… 0-0
Feb 08 Retrô FC … vs Maguary PE 0-0
Jan 17 Retrô FC … vs Sport Rec… 2-4
Apr 22 Retrô FC … vs Sport Rec… 2-0
Apr 15 Retrô FC … vs Sport Rec… 1-2
Mar 26 Retrô FC … vs Maguary PE 1-3
Feb 25 Retrô FC … vs Santa Cru… 1-1
Maguary PE Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 28 Maguary PE vs Pague Men… 4-1
Feb 08 Maguary PE vs Retrô FC … 0-0
Jan 25 Maguary PE vs Sport Rec… 0-1
Jan 21 Maguary PE vs Nautico R… 0-0
Jan 11 Maguary PE vs Santa Cru… 2-0
Mar 26 Maguary PE vs Retrô FC … 1-3
Mar 18 Maguary PE vs Nautico R… 0-1
Jan 29 Maguary PE vs Santa Cru… 1-1
Jun 19 Maguary PE vs Pague Men… 1-0
May 11 Maguary PE vs Floresta 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Maguary PE struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 08, 2024 Retrô FC Brasil 0 - 0 Maguary PE Pernambucano -…
Mar 26, 2023 Maguary PE 1 - 3 Retrô FC Brasil Pernambucano -…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Retrô FC Brasil to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Retrô FC Brasil Power 0
Maguary PE Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Retrô FC Brasil Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Maguary PE Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.