AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Piauiense - 2 Oct 23, 2025

Comercial

Home
VS
18:45

Corí-Sabbá

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Comercial Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Corí-Sabbá Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.24 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Comercial Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Corí-Sabbá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Comercial Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Comercial vs XV de Pir… 1-0
Sep 19 Comercial vs XV de Pir… 1-1
Sep 13 Comercial vs São José … 0-1
Sep 07 Comercial vs São José … 1-0
Sep 02 Comercial vs Inter De … 1-0
Aug 26 Comercial vs Inter De … 1-0
Aug 16 Comercial vs União São… 1-0
Aug 11 Comercial vs Inter De … 2-2
Aug 06 Comercial vs Botafogo 0-2
Jul 26 Comercial vs Jataiense 4-2
Corí-Sabbá Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 18 Corí-Sabbá vs Parnahyba 1-1
Feb 04 Corí-Sabbá vs Figueiren… 2-0
Jan 28 Corí-Sabbá vs Parnahyba 3-0
Jan 14 Corí-Sabbá vs Figueiren… 0-1
Mar 12 Corí-Sabbá vs Parnahyba 2-2
Feb 01 Corí-Sabbá vs Parnahyba 1-1
Mar 13 Corí-Sabbá vs Figueiren… 1-1
Mar 06 Corí-Sabbá vs Parnahyba 1-0
Jan 29 Corí-Sabbá vs Figueiren… 1-1
Jan 26 Corí-Sabbá vs Parnahyba 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Comercial in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Corí-Sabbá struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Comercial to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Comercial Power 0
Corí-Sabbá Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.