Carioca - 1 · Feb 16, 2025 22:00
Portuguesa RJ
PWR 35
Portuguesa RJ
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT
Maringá
PWR 27
PWR 27
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Portuguesa RJ to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
2-2 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAP
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (37.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack31
Defense34
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.9
Portuguesa RJ Form
DDDDD
STABLE
Maringá Form
LWLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS68%
Under 2.533%
Portuguesa … Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Maringá Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Portuguesa RJvs
1.52
MaringáDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Portuguesa …+5
Gap#12
Maringá
WR 27% 27 pts
WR 13% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa RJ | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 29 | 27 |
| Maringá | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 3 |
Portuguesa RJ
10.0%
| Feb 15 | Portugu… v Corinth… | 2-2 |
| Feb 12 | Portugu… v Água Sa… | 0-0 |
| Feb 09 | Portugu… v Costa R… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Portugu… v Boavista | 2-2 |
| Feb 04 | Portugu… v Velo Cl… | 2-2 |
| Feb 02 | Portugu… v Nova Ig… | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Portugu… v Tombense | 1-0 |
| Jan 19 | Portugu… v Dourado… | 1-1 |
| Jan 19 | Portugu… v Madurei… | 2-1 |
| Jan 16 | Portugu… v Palmeir… | 2-0 |
Maringá
8.0%
| Feb 15 | Maringá v Operári… | 3-1 |
| Feb 12 | Maringá v Azuriz | 3-0 |
| Feb 06 | Maringá v Volta R… | 2-1 |
| Jan 29 | Maringá v Vasco D… | 0-1 |
| Jan 26 | Maringá v Andraus… | 1-3 |
| Jan 22 | Maringá v Corinth… | 0-2 |
| Oct 26 | Maringá v Volta R… | 1-1 |
| Oct 16 | Maringá v Volta R… | 1-1 |
| Aug 28 | Maringá v Portugu… | 1-2 |
| Aug 21 | Maringá v Portugu… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 28, 2024 | Portuguesa RJ | 1-2 | Maringá |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Maringá | 2-2 | Portuguesa RJ |
Key Factors
Maringá struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.