AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Maranhense Apr 20, 2024

Maranhão AC

Home
VS
19:30

Sampaio Corrêa

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Maranhão AC Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Sampaio Corrêa Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Maranhão AC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Sampaio Corrêa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Maranhão AC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 17 Maranhão … vs Sampaio C… 3-3
Apr 11 Maranhão … vs Tuntum 2-1
Apr 07 Maranhão … vs Tuntum 1-0
Mar 30 Maranhão … vs Imperatriz 1-1
Mar 16 Maranhão … vs Sampaio C… 2-2
Feb 24 Maranhão … vs Tuntum 2-0
Jan 31 Maranhão … vs Imperatriz 0-1
Jan 28 Maranhão … vs Sampaio C… 3-0
Jan 17 Maranhão … vs Tuntum 4-0
Feb 25 Maranhão … vs Sampaio C… 2-2
Sampaio Corrêa Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 17 Sampaio C… vs Maranhão … 3-3
Mar 23 Sampaio C… vs Moto Club… 0-0
Mar 16 Sampaio C… vs Maranhão … 2-2
Mar 03 Sampaio C… vs Tuntum 2-0
Feb 03 Sampaio C… vs Moto Club… 2-0
Jan 28 Sampaio C… vs Maranhão … 3-0
Jan 21 Sampaio C… vs Tuntum 0-1
Nov 25 Sampaio C… vs Sport Rec… 4-1
Nov 20 Sampaio C… vs Avaí 4-0
Mar 12 Sampaio C… vs Moto Club… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 17, 2024 Sampaio Corrêa 3 - 3 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Mar 16, 2024 Sampaio Corrêa 2 - 2 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Jan 28, 2024 Maranhão AC 3 - 0 Sampaio Corrêa Maranhense
Feb 25, 2023 Sampaio Corrêa 2 - 2 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Jan 28, 2023 Sampaio Corrêa 0 - 0 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Maranhão AC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Maranhão AC Power 0
Sampaio Corrêa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Maranhão AC Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Sampaio Corrêa Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.