AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA WSL Dec 08, 2024

Arsenal Women

Home
VS
14:00

Aston Villa Women

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Arsenal Women Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Aston Villa Women Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.39 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Arsenal Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Aston Villa Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (17%) 3-0 (17%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Arsenal Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 16 Arsenal W… vs Tottenham… 0-3
Nov 03 Arsenal W… vs Mancheste… 1-1
Oct 12 Arsenal W… vs Chelsea W… 1-2
Oct 09 Arsenal W… vs Bayern Mu… 5-2
Oct 06 Arsenal W… vs Everton W… 0-0
Sep 29 Arsenal W… vs Leicester… 0-1
Sep 04 Arsenal W… vs Rangers W… 6-0
Apr 28 Arsenal W… vs Everton W… 1-1
Apr 21 Arsenal W… vs Leicester… 3-0
Mar 31 Arsenal W… vs Chelsea W… 1-0
Aston Villa Women Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 1-0
Nov 10 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 0-0
Nov 03 Aston Vil… vs Liverpool… 1-2
Oct 20 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 2-1
Oct 05 Aston Vil… vs Brighton … 4-2
Sep 29 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 2-2
May 18 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 1-2
May 04 Aston Vil… vs Brighton … 0-1
Mar 24 Aston Vil… vs Arsenal W… 1-3
Mar 16 Aston Vil… vs Everton W… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aston Villa Women struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 24, 2024 Aston Villa Women 1 - 3 Arsenal Women FA WSL
Mar 06, 2024 Arsenal Women 4 - 0 Aston Villa Women WSL Cup
Oct 15, 2023 Arsenal Women 2 - 1 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
May 27, 2023 Arsenal Women 0 - 2 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
Jan 26, 2023 Arsenal Women 3 - 0 Aston Villa Women WSL Cup
Dec 11, 2022 Aston Villa Women 1 - 4 Arsenal Women FA WSL
May 01, 2022 Arsenal Women 7 - 0 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
Final Verdict

ELITE: Arsenal Women to win (91% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 91% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 60 vs 30
Arsenal Women Power 60
Aston Villa Women Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Arsenal Women Position

+4

Position Gap

7

Aston Villa Women Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.