Primera A · Feb 05, 2026 01:00

Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

America de Cali
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Atlético Nacio… Form WWDLW
STABLE
America de Cali Form DWWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS15%
Under 2.567%
Atlético Na… Goals
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
America de … Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Atlético Nacio…
vs
0.20
America de Cali
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Atlético Na…
-1
Gap
#5
America de …
WR 100% 6 pts WR 50% 7 pts
Atlético Nacio… 14.0%
Jan 17 Atlétic… v Chico 4-0
Dec 18 Atlétic… v Indepen… 0-1
Dec 13 Atlétic… v Indepen… 0-0
Dec 08 Atlétic… v America… 3-2
Dec 04 Atlétic… v Indepen… 2-1
Nov 30 Atlétic… v Junior 2-1
Nov 27 Atlétic… v Junior 1-1
Nov 23 Atlétic… v Indepen… 0-0
Nov 21 Atlétic… v America… 1-0
Nov 16 Atlétic… v America… 2-2
America de Cali 16.0%
Jan 30 America… v Once Ca… 1-1
Jan 25 America… v Chico 0-1
Jan 17 America… v La Equi… 3-0
Jan 14 America… v Once Ca… 1-1
Dec 08 America… v Atlétic… 3-2
Dec 05 America… v Junior 2-1
Dec 02 America… v Indepen… 1-1
Nov 27 America… v Indepen… 2-1
Nov 24 America… v Junior 1-1
Nov 21 America… v Atlétic… 1-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 08, 2025 America de Ca… 3-2 Atlético Naci…
Nov 21, 2025 Atlético Naci… 1-0 America de Ca…
Nov 16, 2025 America de Ca… 2-2 Atlético Naci…
Nov 02, 2025 Atlético Naci… 4-1 America de Ca…
Aug 24, 2025 America de Ca… 1-1 Atlético Naci…
Mar 10, 2025 Atlético Naci… 1-0 America de Ca…
Dec 15, 2024 America de Ca… 0-0 Atlético Naci…
Dec 13, 2024 Atlético Naci… 3-1 America de Ca…
Jul 21, 2024 Atlético Naci… 2-1 America de Ca…
Jun 07, 2024 America de Ca… 1-1 Atlético Naci…
Key Factors
Atlético Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5)
America de Cali in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.