AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Feb 02, 2026

La Equidad FC

Home
VS
23:20

Deportes Tolima

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
La Equidad FC Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Deportes Tolima Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.67 - 0.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.8
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
La Equidad FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Deportes Tolima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
La Equidad FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 La Equida… vs Jaguares 2-3
Jan 23 La Equida… vs Cúcuta De… 2-1
Jan 17 La Equida… vs America d… 3-0
Nov 12 La Equida… vs Deportivo… 4-0
Nov 09 La Equida… vs Bucaraman… 2-1
Oct 29 La Equida… vs Fortaleza… 0-1
Oct 24 La Equida… vs Alianza P… 2-0
Oct 20 La Equida… vs Deportes … 0-2
Oct 12 La Equida… vs America d… 3-2
Oct 07 La Equida… vs Once Cald… 0-1
Deportes Tolima Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Deportes … vs Independi… 2-2
Jan 24 Deportes … vs Alianza P… 2-0
Jan 18 Deportes … vs Junior 0-2
Dec 17 Deportes … vs Junior 0-1
Dec 13 Deportes … vs Junior 3-0
Dec 08 Deportes … vs Fortaleza… 1-0
Dec 04 Deportes … vs Bucaraman… 0-0
Nov 29 Deportes … vs Santa Fe 1-0
Nov 26 Deportes … vs Santa Fe 1-2
Nov 23 Deportes … vs Bucaraman… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • La Equidad FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 20, 2025 La Equidad FC 0 - 2 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Apr 26, 2025 Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 La Equidad FC Primera A
Aug 10, 2024 Deportes Tolima 5 - 1 La Equidad FC Primera A
May 23, 2024 Deportes Tolima 3 - 0 La Equidad FC Primera A
May 18, 2024 La Equidad FC 2 - 3 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Feb 10, 2024 La Equidad FC 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Aug 27, 2023 La Equidad FC 0 - 0 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Mar 14, 2023 Deportes Tolima 1 - 0 La Equidad FC Primera A
Aug 22, 2022 Deportes Tolima 1 - 1 La Equidad FC Primera A
Jun 09, 2022 La Equidad FC 1 - 0 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
La Equidad FC Power 0
Deportes Tolima Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

La Equidad FC Position

-2

Position Gap

3

Deportes Tolima Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.