AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraibano Feb 01, 2026

Atlético Cajazeirense

Home
VS
21:30

Nacional de Patos

Away
AI Predictions 44.0% Confidence
Atlético Cajazeirense Win
44.0%
Draw
25.2%
Nacional de Patos Win
30.8%
Home Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 73%
Market 56%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 53%
Asian Handicap: Home -1
xG: 1.92 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.5 Asian Handicap: Home -1
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Cajazeirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Nacional de Patos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (16%) 3-0 (10%) 0-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Atlético Cajazeirense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Atlético … vs Serra Bra… 1-0
Jan 25 Atlético … vs Treze 1-2
Jan 21 Atlético … vs EC de Pat… 1-0
Jan 17 Atlético … vs Campinense 2-0
Nacional de Patos Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Nacional … vs EC de Pat… 0-0
Jan 25 Nacional … vs Confiança… 4-4
Jan 22 Nacional … vs Campinense 1-2
Jan 18 Nacional … vs Pombal EC 3-0
Jan 12 Nacional … vs Botafogo … 4-2
Feb 19 Nacional … vs Botafogo … 2-0
Mar 12 Nacional … vs Botafogo … 0-2
Apr 26 Nacional … vs Botafogo … 3-0
Apr 20 Nacional … vs Botafogo … 3-1
May 19 Nacional … vs Botafogo … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atlético Cajazeirense to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Cajazeirense Power 0
Nacional de Patos Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Atlético Cajazeirense Position

+2

Position Gap

5

Nacional de Patos Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.