Tocantinense · Feb 07, 2026 19:00

Tocantinópolis
PWR 50
1-0
predicted

Araguaína
PWR 46
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Tocantinópolis to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (28%) 1-0 (27%) 2-0 (13%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense76
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.7
Attack35
Defense70
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.8
Tocantinópolis Form WWDDL
STABLE
Araguaína Form LWDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.514%
BTTS16%
Under 2.586%
Tocantinópo… Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Araguaína Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Tocantinópolis
vs
0.30
Araguaína
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Tocantinópo…
+4
Gap
#6
Araguaína
WR 37% 27 pts WR 31% 16 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Tocantinópolis19766191327
Araguaína13445131116
Tocantinópolis 12.0%
Jan 31 Tocanti… v Guarai … 2-0
Jan 24 Tocanti… v Bela Vi… 2-0
Jan 17 Tocanti… v União C… 0-0
Mar 26 Tocanti… v União C… 0-0
Mar 22 Tocanti… v União C… 1-0
Mar 12 Tocanti… v União C… 3-0
Mar 08 Tocanti… v Araguaí… 0-1
Mar 01 Tocanti… v Gurupi 1-1
Feb 15 Tocanti… v Bela Vi… 0-1
Apr 06 Tocanti… v União C… 2-1
Araguaína 10.0%
Jan 31 Araguaí… v Palmas 0-1
Jan 24 Araguaí… v Gurupi 2-0
Jan 17 Araguaí… v Capital 1-1
Apr 05 Araguaí… v União C… 0-0
Mar 29 Araguaí… v União C… 1-1
Mar 23 Araguaí… v Capital 0-3
Mar 18 Araguaí… v Capital 1-2
Mar 15 Araguaí… v Capital 1-0
Mar 08 Araguaí… v Tocanti… 0-1
Feb 22 Araguaí… v Gurupi 1-1
Head-to-Head (2)
Mar 08, 2025 Araguaína 0-1 Tocantinópolis
Feb 04, 2024 Tocantinópolis 0-1 Araguaína
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.