AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Tocantinense Jan 31, 2026

AraguaĆ­na

Home
VS
21:00

Palmeiras

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
AraguaĆ­na Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Palmeiras Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.17 - 1.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.3
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AraguaĆ­na Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
Palmeiras Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
AraguaĆ­na Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 AraguaĆ­na vs Gurupi 2-0
Jan 17 AraguaĆ­na vs Capital 1-1
Apr 05 AraguaĆ­na vs UniĆ£o Cacā€¦ 0-0
Mar 29 AraguaĆ­na vs UniĆ£o Cacā€¦ 1-1
Mar 23 AraguaĆ­na vs Capital 0-3
Mar 18 AraguaĆ­na vs Capital 1-2
Mar 15 AraguaĆ­na vs Capital 1-0
Mar 08 AraguaĆ­na vs TocantinĆ³ā€¦ 0-1
Feb 22 AraguaĆ­na vs Gurupi 1-1
Feb 20 AraguaĆ­na vs Gurupi 2-1
Palmeiras Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Palmeiras vs Atletico-ā€¦ 2-2
Jan 24 Palmeiras vs SĆ£o Pauloā€¦ 3-1
Jan 24 Palmeiras vs UniĆ£o Cacā€¦ 0-2
Jan 20 Palmeiras vs Novorizonā€¦ 4-0
Jan 17 Palmeiras vs Mirassol 1-0
Jan 17 Palmeiras vs Gurupi 1-0
Jan 14 Palmeiras vs Santos 1-0
Jan 10 Palmeiras vs Portuguesa 0-1
Dec 04 Palmeiras vs Atletico-ā€¦ 0-3
Nov 26 Palmeiras vs Remo 3-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: AraguaĆ­na to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AraguaĆ­na Power 0
Palmeiras Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.