AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
PFL Jan 17, 2026

Davao Aguilas

Home
VS
12:30

Manila Digger

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Davao Aguilas Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Manila Digger Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 0.30 - 1.97
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Davao Aguilas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Manila Digger Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (20%) 0-2 (20%) 0-3 (13%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Davao Aguilas Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Davao Agu… vs Mendiola 1-7
Nov 08 Davao Agu… vs Stallion 2-2
Nov 02 Davao Agu… vs Dynamic H… 0-2
Oct 26 Davao Agu… vs Garelli U… 3-0
Oct 19 Davao Agu… vs Tuloy 5-2
Oct 04 Davao Agu… vs Maharlika 2-1
Sep 27 Davao Agu… vs Philippin… 0-5
Sep 21 Davao Agu… vs Taguig 3-0
Sep 13 Davao Agu… vs Kaya–Iloi… 1-0
Mar 16 Davao Agu… vs Manila Di… 1-0
Manila Digger Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Manila Di… vs Philippin… 0-8
Nov 22 Manila Di… vs Kaya–Iloi… 0-2
Nov 01 Manila Di… vs Svay Rieng 2-2
Oct 29 Manila Di… vs Falcons 0-2
Oct 26 Manila Di… vs Zira 3-1
Oct 19 Manila Di… vs Dynamic H… 1-1
Oct 05 Manila Di… vs Tuloy 8-2
Sep 27 Manila Di… vs Taguig 1-0
Sep 20 Manila Di… vs Maharlika 3-2
Sep 14 Manila Di… vs Stallion 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Davao Aguilas in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Manila Digger in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 16, 2025 Manila Digger 1 - 0 Davao Aguilas PFL
Nov 24, 2024 Davao Aguilas 0 - 1 Manila Digger PFL
Apr 21, 2024 Davao Aguilas 1 - 0 Manila Digger PFL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Davao Aguilas Power 0
Manila Digger Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Davao Aguilas Position

-1

Position Gap

4

Manila Digger Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 75%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.