AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Feb 11, 2026

Venados FC

Home
VS
00:00

CancĂșn

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Venados FC Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
CancĂșn Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.30 - 0.82
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.8
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Venados FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
CancĂșn Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Venados FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Venados FC vs CA La Paz 1-0
Jan 25 Venados FC vs Dorados 4-4
Jan 16 Venados FC vs TapatĂ­o 4-2
Jan 10 Venados FC vs Irapuato 4-1
Nov 07 Venados FC vs Tlaxcala 5-1
Nov 02 Venados FC vs Leones Ne
 1-0
Oct 24 Venados FC vs CDS Tampi
 1-1
Oct 19 Venados FC vs Atlante FC 3-0
Oct 11 Venados FC vs TepatitlĂĄn 1-0
Sep 27 Venados FC vs Correcami
 3-6
CancĂșn Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 CancĂșn vs Monarcas 0-1
Jan 25 CancĂșn vs Alebrijes
 1-1
Jan 17 CancĂșn vs Tlaxcala 1-0
Jan 11 CancĂșn vs Dorados 3-1
Nov 16 CancĂșn vs Monarcas 1-1
Nov 14 CancĂșn vs Monarcas 3-1
Nov 09 CancĂșn vs Leones Ne
 0-1
Nov 02 CancĂșn vs Atlante FC 1-1
Oct 26 CancĂșn vs Correcami
 5-0
Oct 18 CancĂșn vs TepatitlĂĄn 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 14, 2025 CancĂșn 1 - 0 Venados FC Liga de Expans

Apr 04, 2024 Venados FC 2 - 0 CancĂșn Liga de Expans

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Venados FC Power 0
CancĂșn Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Venados FC Position

-4

Position Gap

4

CancĂșn Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.