Paraibano 2 · Oct 05, 2025 20:00
Atlético Alagoinhas
PWR 62
Atlético Alagoinhas
PWR 62
2 - 2
FT
Guarabira
PWR 54
PWR 54
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Atlético Alagoinhas to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (20%)
3-0 (18%)
1-0 (15%)
0-0 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
3-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack78
Defense54
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G1.3
Attack64
Defense53
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.3
Atlético Alago… Form
DDWLW
STABLE
Guarabira Form
DWLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.550%
BTTS17%
Under 2.550%
Atlético Al… Goals
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Guarabira Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72
Atlético Alago…vs
0.20
GuarabiraDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Atlético Al…+2
Gap#3
Guarabira
WR 54% 24 pts
WR 42% 20 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Alagoi… | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 24 |
| Guarabira | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 20 |
Atlético Alago…
12.0%
| Oct 04 | Atlétic… v Caninde | 0-0 |
| Sep 29 | Atlétic… v Guarabi… | 2-2 |
| Sep 27 | Atlétic… v América… | 2-0 |
| Sep 21 | Atlétic… v São Pau… | 3-0 |
| Sep 20 | Atlétic… v Flamengo | 2-0 |
| Sep 18 | Atlétic… v Miramar | 2-0 |
| Sep 15 | Atlétic… v Frei Pa… | 0-1 |
| Sep 14 | Atlétic… v Queimad… | 3-0 |
| Sep 11 | Atlétic… v Serrano… | 3-3 |
| Sep 07 | Atlétic… v Cruzeiro | 3-0 |
Guarabira
12.0%
| Sep 29 | Guarabi… v Atlétic… | 2-2 |
| Sep 25 | Guarabi… v Miramar | 1-4 |
| Sep 21 | Guarabi… v Cruzeiro | 2-1 |
| Sep 17 | Guarabi… v Confian… | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Guarabi… v Sabugy | 2-0 |
| Sep 11 | Guarabi… v Miramar | 1-1 |
| Sep 08 | Guarabi… v Serrano… | 1-2 |
| Sep 04 | Guarabi… v Spartax | 2-2 |
| Aug 31 | Guarabi… v São Pau… | 2-1 |
| Aug 28 | Guarabi… v Atlétic… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 29, 2025 | Guarabira | 2-2 | Atlético Alag… |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Atlético Alag… | 2-3 | Guarabira |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.