Predictions Match Details
Tocantinense · Mar 08, 2025 19:00

Araguaína
PWR 46
0 - 1
FT

Tocantinópolis
PWR 50
59% H 22% D 19% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (23%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense70
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.8
Attack35
Defense76
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.7
Araguaína Form DWWL
STABLE
Tocantinópolis Form DLLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.524%
BTTS25%
Under 2.576%
Araguaína Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Tocantinópo… Goals
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Araguaína
vs
0.43
Tocantinópolis
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Araguaína
-4
Gap
#2
Tocantinópo…
WR 31% 16 pts WR 37% 27 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Araguaína13445131116
Tocantinópolis19766191327
Araguaína 12.5%
Feb 22 Araguaí… v Gurupi 1-1
Feb 20 Araguaí… v Gurupi 2-1
Feb 04 Araguaí… v Tocanti… 0-1
Jan 30 Araguaí… v Capital 1-2
Tocantinópolis 4.0%
Mar 01 Tocanti… v Gurupi 1-1
Feb 15 Tocanti… v Bela Vi… 0-1
Apr 06 Tocanti… v União C… 2-1
Mar 30 Tocanti… v União C… 1-2
Mar 02 Tocanti… v União C… 0-0
Feb 09 Tocanti… v Bela Vi… 2-1
Feb 04 Tocanti… v Araguaí… 0-1
Mar 05 Tocanti… v Bela Vi… 1-1
Feb 25 Tocanti… v União C… 0-0
Mar 26 Tocanti… v União C… 1-2
Head-to-Head (1)
Feb 04, 2024 Tocantinópolis 0-1 Araguaína
Key Factors
Tocantinópolis struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.