African Nations Championship · Aug 26, 2025 17:30

Morocco
PWR 84
1 - 1
FT

Arsenal
PWR 21
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Morocco to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (27%) 1-0 (27%) 2-0 (13%) 0-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy38%
HOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack91
Defense79
Goals/G2.6
Conc/G0.6
Attack20
Defense40
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G2.0
Morocco Form WWWDD
UP
Arsenal Form WWDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.515%
BTTS17%
Under 2.585%
Morocco Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Arsenal Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Morocco
vs
0.32
Arsenal
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Morocco
+1
Gap
#2
Arsenal
WR 80% 13 pts WR 50% 4 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Morocco541013313
Arsenal2110414
Morocco 16.0%
Aug 14 Morocco v Zambia 3-1
Jun 09 Morocco v Hiberni… 1-0
Jun 06 Morocco v Tunisia 2-0
Apr 19 Morocco v Italy U… 0-0
Apr 15 Morocco v Côte d'… 0-0
Apr 10 Morocco v South A… 3-1
Apr 03 Morocco v Zambia 0-0
Mar 30 Morocco v England 5-0
Jun 07 Morocco v Zambia 2-1
Jan 24 Morocco v Zambia 0-1
Arsenal 14.0%
Aug 24 Arsenal v Shirak 0-1
Aug 24 Arsenal v Chayka 0-3
Aug 23 Arsenal v Torpedo… 1-1
Aug 16 Arsenal v Enisey 2-2
Aug 15 Arsenal v Smorgon 1-1
Aug 10 Arsenal v MKK-Dne… 0-4
Aug 09 Arsenal v Rodina … 1-1
Aug 06 Arsenal v Villarr… 2-3
Aug 04 Arsenal v Van 0-0
Aug 03 Arsenal v Chernom… 1-2
Head-to-Head (1)
Oct 09, 2020 Morocco 3-1 Arsenal
Key Factors
Morocco in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.