Rondoniense · Mar 22, 2025 20:00
Paranoá
PWR 36
Genus
PWR 27
PWR 27
0 - 1
FT
Paranoá
PWR 36
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (53% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
53%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (24%)
2-0 (19%)
0-0 (15%)
3-0 (10%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 6% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 6%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack27
Defense41
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.7
Attack25
Defense61
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.1
Genus Form
LLLDW
DOWN
Paranoá Form
LLLWD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.529%
BTTS22%
Under 2.571%
Genus Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
Paranoá Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Genusvs
0.32
ParanoáDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Genus-2
Gap#5
Paranoá
WR 12% 21 pts
WR 18% 24 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genus | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 56 | 21 |
| Paranoá | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 31 | 24 |
Genus
6.0%
| Mar 16 | Genus v Porto V… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Genus v Jaguaré | 1-3 |
| Feb 23 | Genus v Barcelo… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Genus v Paranoá | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Genus v Porto V… | 2-0 |
| Feb 09 | Genus v Jaguaré | 0-0 |
| Apr 27 | Genus v União C… | 2-0 |
| Apr 21 | Genus v Porto V… | 3-0 |
| Apr 06 | Genus v Barcelo… | 3-1 |
| Mar 31 | Genus v Paranoá | 2-1 |
Paranoá
6.0%
| Mar 08 | Paranoá v Brasili… | 2-0 |
| Mar 02 | Paranoá v Jaguaré | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Paranoá v Porto V… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Paranoá v Real FC | 2-1 |
| Feb 20 | Paranoá v Genus | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Paranoá v Capital… | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Paranoá v Barcelo… | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | Paranoá v Jaguaré | 1-3 |
| Feb 01 | Paranoá v Gama | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Paranoá v Sobradi… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Feb 20, 2025 | Paranoá | 1-1 | Genus |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Genus | 2-1 | Paranoá |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Paranoá | 1-0 | Genus |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Paranoá | 3-0 | Genus |
Key Factors
Genus struggling (3L in last 5)
Paranoá struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.