KNVB Beker · Feb 03, 2026 19:00
AZ Alkmaar
PWR 68
FC Twente
PWR 56
AZ Alkmaar
PWR 68
2 - 1
FT
FC Twente
PWR 56
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: AZ Alkmaar to win (83% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
83%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
0-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy42%
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.7% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack85
Defense55
Goals/G2.4
Conc/G1.3
Attack82
Defense30
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G2.0
AZ Alkmaar Form
LWDLW
STABLE
FC Twente Form
DDWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.547%
BTTS52%
Under 2.553%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
FC Twente Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
AZ Alkmaarvs
1.14
FC TwenteDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum63%
Standings50%
Market47%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
AZ Alkmaar+9
Gap#11
FC Twente
WR 64% 30 pts
WR 56% 15 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 18 | 30 |
| FC Twente | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 15 |
AZ Alkmaar
10.0%
| Jan 31 | AZ Alkm… v NEC Nij… | 1-3 |
| Jan 25 | AZ Alkm… v Telstar | 0-1 |
| Jan 21 | AZ Alkm… v Excelsi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | AZ Alkm… v PEC Zwo… | 3-1 |
| Jan 14 | AZ Alkm… v Ajax | 6-0 |
| Jan 10 | AZ Alkm… v FC Vole… | 1-0 |
| Dec 21 | AZ Alkm… v Fortuna… | 4-3 |
| Dec 18 | AZ Alkm… v Jagiell… | 0-0 |
| Dec 11 | AZ Alkm… v Drita | 0-3 |
| Dec 07 | AZ Alkm… v GO Ahea… | 2-2 |
FC Twente
14.0%
| Jan 30 | FC Twen… v NAC Bre… | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | FC Twen… v Excelsi… | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | FC Twen… v Heracles | 0-2 |
| Jan 13 | FC Twen… v Utrecht | 1-2 |
| Jan 10 | FC Twen… v PEC Zwo… | 1-1 |
| Dec 21 | FC Twen… v Feyenoo… | 1-1 |
| Dec 18 | FC Twen… v Spakenb… | 3-6 |
| Dec 14 | FC Twen… v GO Ahea… | 2-0 |
| Dec 07 | FC Twen… v Utrecht | 1-1 |
| Nov 30 | FC Twen… v AZ Alkm… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 30, 2025 | FC Twente | 1-0 | AZ Alkmaar |
| May 25, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | 3-2 | FC Twente |
| May 14, 2025 | FC Twente | 2-3 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 1-0 | FC Twente |
| Dec 21, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 1-0 | FC Twente |
| May 05, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-1 | FC Twente |
| May 05, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-1 | FC Twente |
| Jan 13, 2024 | FC Twente | 2-1 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Jan 13, 2024 | FC Twente | 2-1 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Mar 19, 2023 | FC Twente | 2-1 | AZ Alkmaar |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.