HNL · Feb 08, 2026 14:00

NK Varaždin
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

HNK Rijeka
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: NK Varaždin to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
NK Varaždin Form WLLLW
STABLE
HNK Rijeka Form LWWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.569%
BTTS67%
Under 2.531%
NK Varaždin Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
HNK Rijeka Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
NK Varaždin
vs
1.29
HNK Rijeka
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings62%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
NK Varaždin
+2
Gap
#5
HNK Rijeka
WR 50% 32 pts WR 20% 29 pts
NK Varaždin 8.0%
Jan 31 NK Vara… v NK Slav… 0-2
Jan 26 NK Vara… v HNK Rij… 1-2
Dec 19 NK Vara… v Istra 1… 1-3
Dec 12 NK Vara… v Vukovar 2-0
Dec 07 NK Vara… v NK Loko… 4-2
Dec 03 NK Vara… v HNK Rij… 1-1
Nov 29 NK Vara… v HNK Haj… 1-1
Nov 22 NK Vara… v Dinamo … 3-1
Nov 15 NK Vara… v Dakovo-… 2-1
Nov 09 NK Vara… v HNK Rij… 1-0
HNK Rijeka 12.0%
Feb 06 HNK Rij… v NK Loko… 3-0
Feb 01 HNK Rij… v HNK Rij… 1-0
Jan 31 HNK Rij… v HNK Haj… 1-0
Jan 26 HNK Rij… v NK Vara… 1-2
Jan 25 HNK Rij… v Dinamo … 0-3
Jan 24 HNK Rij… v NK Slav… 2-2
Jan 20 HNK Rij… v Istra 1… 1-2
Dec 21 HNK Rij… v HNK Rij… 1-0
Dec 20 HNK Rij… v NK Slav… 0-0
Dec 13 HNK Rij… v HNK Rij… 1-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Jan 26, 2026 NK Varaždin 1-2 HNK Rijeka
Dec 03, 2025 NK Varaždin 1-1 HNK Rijeka
Nov 09, 2025 NK Varaždin 1-0 HNK Rijeka
Nov 02, 2025 HNK Rijeka 0-0 NK Varaždin
Oct 19, 2025 HNK Rijeka 1-3 NK Varaždin
Aug 24, 2025 HNK Rijeka 1-2 NK Varaždin
Aug 17, 2025 NK Varaždin 0-0 HNK Rijeka
Aug 04, 2025 NK Varaždin 1-1 HNK Rijeka
May 17, 2025 NK Varaždin 2-1 HNK Rijeka
Apr 13, 2025 HNK Rijeka 1-0 NK Varaždin
Key Factors
HNK Rijeka in strong form (3W in last 5)
NK Varaždin struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.