AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
HNL Jan 31, 2026

NK Slaven Belupo

Home
VS
16:45

NK Varaždin

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
NK Slaven Belupo Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
NK Varaždin Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 47%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 48%
Asian Handicap: Home -0.5
xG: 3.80 - 0.81
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.8 Asian Handicap: Home -0.5
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
NK Slaven Belupo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
NK Varaždin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
NK Slaven Belupo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 NK Slavenā€¦ vs HNK Rijeka 2-2
Dec 20 NK Slavenā€¦ vs NK Osijek 0-0
Dec 14 NK Slavenā€¦ vs Dinamo Zaā€¦ 2-5
Dec 05 NK Slavenā€¦ vs HNK Gorica 2-1
Nov 29 NK Slavenā€¦ vs Istra 1961 1-1
Nov 21 NK Slavenā€¦ vs Vukovar 4-1
Nov 08 NK Slavenā€¦ vs NK Lokomoā€¦ 1-1
Nov 02 NK Slavenā€¦ vs HNK Hajduā€¦ 0-0
Oct 29 NK Slavenā€¦ vs Bsk Bijelā€¦ 0-3
Oct 25 NK Slavenā€¦ vs NK Varaždā€¦ 1-3
NK Varaždin Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 NK Varaždā€¦ vs HNK Gorica 1-2
Dec 19 NK Varaždā€¦ vs Istra 1961 1-3
Dec 12 NK Varaždā€¦ vs Vukovar 2-0
Dec 07 NK Varaždā€¦ vs NK Lokomoā€¦ 4-2
Dec 03 NK Varaždā€¦ vs HNK Rijeka 1-1
Nov 29 NK Varaždā€¦ vs HNK Hajduā€¦ 1-1
Nov 22 NK Varaždā€¦ vs Dinamo Zaā€¦ 3-1
Nov 15 NK Varaždā€¦ vs Dakovo-Crā€¦ 2-1
Nov 09 NK Varaždā€¦ vs HNK Rijeka 1-0
Nov 08 NK Varaždā€¦ vs Jadran LP 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • NK Varaždin struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 25, 2025 NK Varaždin 1 - 3 NK Slaven Belupo HNL
Aug 10, 2025 NK Slaven Belupo 3 - 1 NK Varaždin HNL
Apr 22, 2025 NK Slaven Belupo 0 - 1 NK Varaždin HNL
Feb 16, 2025 NK Varaždin 0 - 1 NK Slaven Belupo HNL
Jan 10, 2025 NK Varaždin 1 - 0 NK Slaven Belupo Friendlies Cluā€¦
Nov 10, 2024 NK Slaven Belupo 1 - 1 NK Varaždin HNL
Aug 24, 2024 NK Varaždin 2 - 0 NK Slaven Belupo HNL
Apr 06, 2024 NK Slaven Belupo 0 - 1 NK Varaždin HNL
Jan 26, 2024 NK Varaždin 1 - 2 NK Slaven Belupo HNL
Oct 06, 2023 NK Slaven Belupo 3 - 2 NK Varaždin HNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
NK Slaven Belupo Power 0
NK Varaždin Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

NK Slaven Belupo Position

-2

Position Gap

4

NK Varaždin Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.