FA Cup · Feb 07, 2026 19:30

Aberdeen
PWR 80
4-1
predicted

Motherwell
PWR 53
31% H 28% D 41% A
Final Verdict
Aberdeen Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
76%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (28%) 1-0 (21%) 0-1 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 8 rules · 76%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
GAP12_HWR65TOP3_VS_BOTTOMPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Full data available (Tier 1)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (8 rules, 76% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack84
Defense76
Goals/G2.4
Conc/G0.7
Attack44
Defense65
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Aberdeen Form LWWLL
STABLE
Motherwell Form WWWDW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.514%
BTTS21%
Under 2.586%
Aberdeen Goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Motherwell Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Aberdeen
vs
0.51
Motherwell
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market36%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Aberdeen
+39
Gap
#42
Motherwell
WR 80% 26 pts WR 50% 6 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Aberdeen1082024726
Motherwell4202546
Aberdeen 8.0%
Jan 31 Aberdeen v Kilmarn… 3-0
Jan 24 Aberdeen v Livings… 6-2
Jan 18 Aberdeen v Raith R… 1-0
Jan 11 Aberdeen v Rangers… 0-2
Jan 06 Aberdeen v Rangers… 2-0
Jan 03 Aberdeen v Falkirk 1-0
Dec 30 Aberdeen v Hiberni… 2-0
Dec 27 Aberdeen v Dundee … 1-1
Dec 21 Aberdeen v Celtic 3-1
Dec 18 Aberdeen v Slavia … 3-0
Motherwell 18.0%
Jan 31 Motherw… v Livings… 0-2
Jan 24 Motherw… v Kilmarn… 4-0
Jan 17 Motherw… v Ross Co… 1-0
Jan 10 Motherw… v Hiberni… 1-1
Jan 03 Motherw… v St. Mir… 2-0
Dec 30 Motherw… v Celtic 2-0
Dec 27 Motherw… v Rangers… 1-0
Dec 20 Motherw… v Dundee … 1-0
Dec 13 Motherw… v Dundee … 0-0
Dec 06 Motherw… v Livings… 3-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Nov 09, 2025 Aberdeen 1-1 Motherwell
Sep 27, 2025 Motherwell 2-0 Aberdeen
Sep 20, 2025 Aberdeen 0-1 Motherwell
Mar 29, 2025 Aberdeen 4-1 Motherwell
Jan 05, 2025 Motherwell 2-0 Aberdeen
Sep 14, 2024 Aberdeen 2-1 Motherwell
Apr 27, 2024 Aberdeen 1-0 Motherwell
Mar 16, 2024 Motherwell 0-1 Aberdeen
Feb 14, 2024 Aberdeen 3-3 Motherwell
Nov 01, 2023 Motherwell 2-4 Aberdeen
Key Factors
Motherwell in strong form (4W in last 5)
Aberdeen struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.