Predictions Match Details
Primera División - Apertura · May 23, 2025 23:30

Club Nacional
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Progreso
PWR 35
65% H 21% D 14% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Club Nacional to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Club Nacional Form WWWDW
UP
Progreso Form LWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS63%
Under 2.538%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Progreso Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Club Nacional
vs
1.02
Progreso
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings53%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
Club Nacion…
+2
Gap
#6
Progreso
WR 0% 0 pts WR 0% 0 pts
Club Nacional 18.0%
Apr 06 Club Na… v Cerro L… 0-4
Feb 22 Club Na… v Boston … 2-3
Feb 16 Club Na… v Progreso 1-5
Dec 06 Club Na… v Defenso… 2-2
Dec 01 Club Na… v Boston … 3-1
Nov 28 Club Na… v Danubio 0-0
Nov 23 Club Na… v Atletic… 4-0
Nov 16 Club Na… v Deporti… 5-2
Nov 13 Club Na… v Fenix 0-6
Nov 08 Club Na… v Racing … 0-2
Progreso 4.0%
May 18 Progreso v Juventud 1-2
Apr 20 Progreso v Defenso… 1-2
Feb 16 Progreso v Club Na… 1-5
Nov 30 Progreso v Cerro L… 2-1
Nov 27 Progreso v Peñarol… 1-5
Nov 18 Progreso v Fenix 2-2
Nov 14 Progreso v Defenso… 3-0
Nov 10 Progreso v Rangers… 0-0
Nov 03 Progreso v Peñarol… 2-1
Sep 29 Progreso v Club Na… 0-3
Head-to-Head (7)
Feb 16, 2025 Progreso 1-5 Club Nacional
Sep 29, 2024 Progreso 0-3 Club Nacional
Mar 23, 2024 Club Nacional 0-0 Progreso
Sep 19, 2021 Club Nacional 0-1 Progreso
May 23, 2021 Progreso 1-3 Club Nacional
Feb 18, 2021 Progreso 0-1 Club Nacional
Aug 26, 2020 Club Nacional 2-1 Progreso
Key Factors
Club Nacional in strong form (4W in last 5)
Progreso struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.