AI Match Insights
Primera DivisiĆ³n - Apertura Feb 16, 2025
Progreso
HomeVS
20:00
Club Nacional
AwayAI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Progreso Win
Draw
Club Nacional Win
Away Win
(44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-3
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 36%
Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 0.30 - 4.00
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Progreso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Club Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3 (14%)
0-2 (11%)
0-1 (5%)
1-3 (4%)
1-2 (3%)
1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
Progreso Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30 | Progreso vs Cerro Larā¦ | 2-1 |
| Nov 27 | Progreso vs PeƱarol Mā¦ | 1-5 |
| Nov 18 | Progreso vs Fenix | 2-2 |
| Nov 14 | Progreso vs Defensor ā¦ | 3-0 |
| Nov 10 | Progreso vs Rangers FC | 0-0 |
| Nov 03 | Progreso vs PeƱarol Mā¦ | 2-1 |
| Sep 29 | Progreso vs Club Naciā¦ | 0-3 |
| Jul 27 | Progreso vs Fenix | 1-1 |
| Jul 21 | Progreso vs Deportivoā¦ | 0-1 |
| Jul 14 | Progreso vs Rangers FC | 4-2 |
Club Nacional Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 06 | Club Naciā¦ vs Defensor ā¦ | 2-2 |
| Dec 01 | Club Naciā¦ vs Boston Riā¦ | 3-1 |
| Nov 28 | Club Naciā¦ vs Danubio | 0-0 |
| Nov 23 | Club Naciā¦ vs Atletico ā¦ | 4-0 |
| Nov 16 | Club Naciā¦ vs Deportivoā¦ | 5-2 |
| Nov 13 | Club Naciā¦ vs Fenix | 0-6 |
| Nov 08 | Club Naciā¦ vs Racing Clā¦ | 0-2 |
| Nov 02 | Club Naciā¦ vs Cerrito | 2-0 |
| Oct 29 | Club Naciā¦ vs Plaza Colā¦ | 4-0 |
| Oct 13 | Club Naciā¦ vs Cerro Larā¦ | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Club Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
- Progreso struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2024 | Progreso | 0 - 3 | Club Nacional | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Club Nacional | 0 - 0 | Progreso | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Club Nacional | 0 - 1 | Progreso | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| May 23, 2021 | Progreso | 1 - 3 | Club Nacional | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Feb 18, 2021 | Progreso | 0 - 1 | Club Nacional | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Aug 26, 2020 | Club Nacional | 2 - 1 | Progreso | Primera Divisiā¦ |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Progreso to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Progreso Power
0
Club Nacional Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.