AI Match Insights
Primera DivisiĆ³n - Clausura Sep 29, 2024
Progreso
HomeVS
23:00
Club Nacional
AwayAI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Progreso Win
Draw
Club Nacional Win
Away Win
(41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-3
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 36%
Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 0.38 - 4.00
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Progreso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Club Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3 (13%)
0-2 (10%)
1-3 (5%)
0-1 (5%)
1-2 (4%)
1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
Progreso Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27 | Progreso vs Fenix | 1-1 |
| Jul 21 | Progreso vs Deportivoā¦ | 0-1 |
| Jul 14 | Progreso vs Rangers FC | 4-2 |
| Jul 07 | Progreso vs Racing Clā¦ | 3-2 |
| Jun 22 | Progreso vs PeƱarol Mā¦ | 0-2 |
| Jun 15 | Progreso vs Defensor ā¦ | 1-1 |
| May 12 | Progreso vs Defensor ā¦ | 1-4 |
| Mar 23 | Progreso vs Club Naciā¦ | 0-0 |
| Dec 03 | Progreso vs Uruguay Mā¦ | 1-3 |
| Nov 29 | Progreso vs Albion FC | 3-2 |
Club Nacional Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 04 | Club Naciā¦ vs PeƱarol Mā¦ | 1-1 |
| Jul 28 | Club Naciā¦ vs Boston Riā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jul 20 | Club Naciā¦ vs Miramar | 4-0 |
| Jul 13 | Club Naciā¦ vs Danubio | 0-6 |
| Jul 07 | Club Naciā¦ vs Rampla Juā¦ | 1-1 |
| Jun 23 | Club Naciā¦ vs Cerro Larā¦ | 0-4 |
| Jun 15 | Club Naciā¦ vs PeƱarol Mā¦ | 2-1 |
| May 20 | Club Naciā¦ vs Deportivoā¦ | 0-2 |
| Apr 06 | Club Naciā¦ vs Cerro Larā¦ | 1-0 |
| Mar 23 | Club Naciā¦ vs Progreso | 0-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Club Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
- Progreso struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | Club Nacional | 0 - 0 | Progreso | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Club Nacional | 0 - 1 | Progreso | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| May 23, 2021 | Progreso | 1 - 3 | Club Nacional | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Feb 18, 2021 | Progreso | 0 - 1 | Club Nacional | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Aug 26, 2020 | Club Nacional | 2 - 1 | Progreso | Primera Divisiā¦ |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Progreso to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Progreso Power
0
Club Nacional Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.