Primera División - Apertura · Mar 23, 2024 21:30

Club Nacional
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT

Progreso
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Progreso to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (8%) 1-3 (8%) 2-2 (6%) 2-3 (6%) 0-2 (5%) 0-3 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Club Nacional Form LDWWW
STABLE
Progreso Form WWWWD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.574%
BTTS73%
Under 2.526%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Progreso Goals
0
5%
1
15%
2
23%
3
22%
4
17%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Club Nacional
vs
2.99
Progreso
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings53%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Club Nacion…
+2
Gap
#6
Progreso
WR 0% 0 pts WR 0% 0 pts
Club Nacional 14.0%
Feb 06 Club Na… v Peñarol… 2-1
Dec 07 Club Na… v Atletic… 1-1
Dec 04 Club Na… v Defenso… 1-0
Nov 30 Club Na… v La Luz 0-1
Nov 26 Club Na… v Rangers… 3-1
Nov 20 Club Na… v Fenix 1-1
Nov 16 Club Na… v Danubio 1-3
Oct 23 Club Na… v Deporti… 1-3
Oct 19 Club Na… v Boston … 2-0
Aug 26 Club Na… v Cerro L… 2-2
Progreso 18.0%
Dec 03 Progreso v Uruguay… 1-3
Nov 29 Progreso v Albion … 3-2
Nov 24 Progreso v Sud Amé… 0-4
Nov 18 Progreso v Juventud 2-1
Nov 14 Progreso v Atenas 1-1
Jul 07 Progreso v Juventud 1-1
Apr 29 Progreso v Juventud 1-5
Nov 03 Progreso v Defenso… 3-1
Oct 26 Progreso v Defenso… 1-1
Sep 25 Progreso v Central… 1-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Sep 19, 2021 Club Nacional 0-1 Progreso
May 23, 2021 Progreso 1-3 Club Nacional
Feb 18, 2021 Progreso 0-1 Club Nacional
Aug 26, 2020 Club Nacional 2-1 Progreso
Key Factors
Club Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5)
Progreso in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.