Predictions Match Details
Copa De La Liga Auf · Jan 23, 2026 23:30

Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 49
2 - 2
FT

Boston River
PWR 56
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Peñarol Montevideo to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (20%) 0-1 (17%) 1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-2 (7%) 2-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (35.3%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense77
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.7
Attack53
Defense65
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.0
Peñarol Montev… Form DWDDL
STABLE
Boston River Form DWDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.522%
BTTS30%
Under 2.578%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Boston River Goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Peñarol Montev…
vs
0.86
Boston River
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Peñarol Mon…
-2
Gap
#1
Boston River
WR 33% 5 pts WR 50% 8 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Peñarol Montevi…3120325
Boston River4220648
Peñarol Montev… 10.0%
Jan 22 Peñarol… v Colo-Co… 1-1
Jan 20 Peñarol… v Racing … 1-0
Jan 18 Peñarol… v River P… 0-0
Jan 18 Peñarol… v River P… 0-0
Jan 13 Peñarol… v Albion … 0-2
Jan 13 Peñarol… v Central… 0-0
Nov 16 Peñarol… v Peñarol… 1-2
Nov 09 Peñarol… v Atletic… 0-2
Nov 07 Peñarol… v Cerro L… 2-0
Nov 02 Peñarol… v Defenso… 2-1
Boston River 14.0%
Jan 18 Boston … v Albion … 1-1
Jan 12 Boston … v Danubio 1-0
Nov 09 Boston … v Cerrito 0-0
Oct 31 Boston … v Bray Wa… 2-2
Oct 27 Boston … v Miramar 0-4
Oct 17 Boston … v Danubio 0-0
Oct 11 Boston … v Cerro L… 2-2
Oct 04 Boston … v Juventud 0-0
Sep 27 Boston … v Peñarol… 2-1
Sep 20 Boston … v Plaza C… 6-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Sep 27, 2025 Peñarol Monte… 2-1 Boston River
Aug 15, 2025 Boston River 2-1 Peñarol Monte…
Feb 15, 2025 Peñarol Monte… 1-1 Boston River
Oct 19, 2024 Peñarol Monte… 2-0 Boston River
Jun 23, 2024 Peñarol Monte… 1-0 Boston River
Apr 20, 2024 Boston River 1-3 Peñarol Monte…
Feb 05, 2024 Peñarol Monte… 2-0 Boston River
Nov 29, 2023 Peñarol Monte… 2-0 Boston River
Sep 02, 2023 Boston River 0-1 Peñarol Monte…
Jul 16, 2023 Peñarol Monte… 2-1 Boston River
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.