Predictions Match Details
Liga Nacional · Feb 07, 2026 21:00

Achuapa
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Aurora
PWR 35
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Achuapa Form WWLLL
STABLE
Aurora Form WDDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS48%
Under 2.541%
Achuapa Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Aurora Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Achuapa
vs
0.66
Aurora
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings44%
Market57%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Achuapa
-3
Gap
#4
Aurora
WR 55% 25 pts WR 27% 39 pts
Achuapa 8.0%
Feb 02 Achuapa v Mictlán 0-1
Jan 28 Achuapa v Mixco 2-0
Jan 25 Achuapa v Marquen… 1-0
Jan 21 Achuapa v Comunic… 2-3
Dec 19 Achuapa v Municip… 3-0
Dec 14 Achuapa v Municip… 1-1
Dec 11 Achuapa v Mixco 0-0
Dec 07 Achuapa v Mixco 3-2
Nov 30 Achuapa v Guastat… 1-1
Nov 22 Achuapa v Mixco 5-1
Aurora 8.0%
Feb 01 Aurora v Malacat… 1-0
Jan 28 Aurora v Guastat… 2-2
Jan 25 Aurora v Municip… 2-2
Jan 21 Aurora v XelajĂş 4-0
Dec 18 Aurora v Antigua… 4-2
Dec 14 Aurora v Antigua… 0-1
Dec 10 Aurora v Malacat… 2-1
Dec 07 Aurora v Malacat… 1-0
Nov 30 Aurora v Mixco 1-0
Nov 22 Aurora v Mictlán 4-0
Head-to-Head (2)
Oct 18, 2025 Aurora 2-1 Achuapa
Aug 10, 2025 Achuapa 1-2 Aurora
Key Factors
Achuapa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.