AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Feb 02, 2026

Mictlán

Home
VS
00:00

Achuapa

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Mictlán Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Achuapa Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.20 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mictlán Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
19%
Achuapa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (5%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Mictlán Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Mictlán vs Malacatec… 2-0
Jan 25 Mictlán vs Guastatoya 0-0
Jan 22 Mictlán vs Municipal 1-2
Dec 11 Mictlán vs Municipal 2-0
Dec 06 Mictlán vs Municipal 0-1
Nov 30 Mictlán vs Cobán Imp… 0-0
Nov 22 Mictlán vs Aurora 4-0
Nov 16 Mictlán vs Achuapa 1-0
Nov 08 Mictlán vs Marquense 1-1
Nov 07 Mictlán vs Municipal 1-0
Achuapa Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Achuapa vs Mixco 2-0
Jan 25 Achuapa vs Marquense 1-0
Jan 21 Achuapa vs Comunicac… 2-3
Dec 19 Achuapa vs Municipal 3-0
Dec 14 Achuapa vs Municipal 1-1
Dec 11 Achuapa vs Mixco 0-0
Dec 07 Achuapa vs Mixco 3-2
Nov 30 Achuapa vs Guastatoya 1-1
Nov 22 Achuapa vs Mixco 5-1
Nov 16 Achuapa vs Mictlán 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mictlán struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Achuapa struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 16, 2025 Achuapa 1 - 0 Mictlán Liga Nacional
Sep 14, 2025 Mictlán 1 - 0 Achuapa Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mictlán Power 0
Achuapa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Mictlán Position

-1

Position Gap

7

Achuapa Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.