Liga Nacional · Feb 01, 2026 17:00
Aurora
PWR 35
Malacateco FC
PWR 35
Aurora
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Malacateco FC
PWR 35
31% H
28% D
41% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (17%)
1-0 (15%)
3-0 (13%)
2-1 (7%)
0-0 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSN/A
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Aurora Form
DDLLL
STABLE
Malacateco FC Form
WLWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.548%
BTTS31%
Under 2.552%
Aurora Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Malacateco … Goals
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Auroravs
0.43
Malacateco FCDecision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings65%
Market50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Aurora+1
Gap#5
Malacateco …
WR 73% 39 pts
WR 27% 31 pts
Aurora
4.0%
| Jan 28 | Aurora v Guastat… | 2-2 |
| Jan 25 | Aurora v Municip… | 2-2 |
| Jan 21 | Aurora v XelajĂş | 4-0 |
| Dec 18 | Aurora v Antigua… | 4-2 |
| Dec 14 | Aurora v Antigua… | 0-1 |
| Dec 10 | Aurora v Malacat… | 2-1 |
| Dec 07 | Aurora v Malacat… | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Aurora v Mixco | 1-0 |
| Nov 22 | Aurora v Mictlán | 4-0 |
| Nov 16 | Aurora v XelajĂş | 3-2 |
Malacateco FC
12.0%
| Jan 30 | Malacat… v Mictlán | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | Malacat… v Mixco | 1-0 |
| Jan 22 | Malacat… v Marquen… | 2-1 |
| Dec 10 | Malacat… v Aurora | 2-1 |
| Dec 07 | Malacat… v Aurora | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Malacat… v Antigua… | 2-0 |
| Nov 23 | Malacat… v Comunic… | 2-0 |
| Nov 15 | Malacat… v Cobán I… | 0-1 |
| Nov 09 | Malacat… v Aurora | 1-0 |
| Nov 05 | Malacat… v Achuapa | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Dec 10, 2025 | Aurora | 2-1 | Malacateco FC |
| Dec 07, 2025 | Malacateco FC | 1-0 | Aurora |
| Nov 09, 2025 | Malacateco FC | 1-0 | Aurora |
| Sep 07, 2025 | Aurora | 1-0 | Malacateco FC |
Key Factors
Malacateco FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
Aurora struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.