AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
CONCACAF Nations League Mar 24, 2025

New Mexico United

Home
VS
01:30

Panama

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
New Mexico United Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Panama Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.33 - 1.17
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.2
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
New Mexico United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Panama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
New Mexico United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 New Mexic… vs Las Vegas… 0-1
Nov 04 New Mexic… vs Phoenix R… 2-1
Oct 27 New Mexic… vs Memphis 9… 2-3
Oct 20 New Mexic… vs England 4-2
Oct 20 New Mexic… vs Orange Co… 0-0
Oct 13 New Mexic… vs FC UFA 1-1
Jul 11 New Mexic… vs Los Angel… 3-1
Jul 04 New Mexic… vs Orange Co… 2-0
Jun 06 New Mexic… vs CS Uruguay 0-4
Jun 01 New Mexic… vs Olimpia 1-0
Panama Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 02 Panama vs Olimpia 1-3
Mar 22 Panama vs New Mexic… 0-3
Aug 27 Panama vs Olimpia 1-2
Jul 16 Panama vs New Mexic… 1-0
Jun 18 Panama vs New Mexic… 0-1
Feb 03 Panama vs New Mexic… 1-0
Sep 09 Panama vs New Mexic… 1-1
Jul 01 Panama vs New Mexic… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Panama struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 22, 2024 Panama 0 - 3 New Mexico United CONCACAF Natio…
Jul 16, 2023 New Mexico United 1 - 0 Panama CONCACAF Gold …
Jun 18, 2023 Panama 0 - 1 New Mexico United CONCACAF Natio…
Feb 03, 2022 New Mexico United 1 - 0 Panama World Cup - Qu…
Sep 09, 2021 Panama 1 - 1 New Mexico United World Cup - Qu…
Jul 01, 2021 New Mexico United 3 - 0 Panama Friendlies
Final Verdict

STANDARD: New Mexico United to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
New Mexico United Power 0
Panama Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.