AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
CONCACAF Gold Cup Jul 16, 2023

New Mexico United

Home
VS
23:30

Panama

Away
AI Predictions 56.5% Confidence
New Mexico United Win
56.5%
Draw
22.7%
Panama Win
20.8%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.00 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
New Mexico United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Panama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
New Mexico United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 18 New Mexic… vs Panama 0-1
Sep 01 New Mexic… vs Paraguay 0-1
Jun 03 New Mexic… vs CS Uruguay 0-3
Feb 03 New Mexic… vs Panama 1-0
Sep 09 New Mexic… vs Panama 1-1
Jul 01 New Mexic… vs Panama 3-0
Panama Form 2.5%
Date Match Result
Jun 18 Panama vs New Mexic… 0-1
Feb 03 Panama vs New Mexic… 1-0
Sep 09 Panama vs New Mexic… 1-1
Jul 01 Panama vs New Mexic… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Panama struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 18, 2023 Panama 0 - 1 New Mexico United CONCACAF Natio…
Feb 03, 2022 New Mexico United 1 - 0 Panama World Cup - Qu…
Sep 09, 2021 Panama 1 - 1 New Mexico United World Cup - Qu…
Jul 01, 2021 New Mexico United 3 - 0 Panama Friendlies
Final Verdict

STANDARD: New Mexico United to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
New Mexico United Power 0
Panama Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.