AI Match Insights

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Liga Profesional Argentina Feb 09, 2026

VĂ©lez Sarsfield

Home
VS
01:15

Boca Juniors

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
VĂ©lez Sarsfield Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Boca Juniors Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 35% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 1.11 - 2.24
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
VĂ©lez Sarsfield Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Boca Juniors Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (10%) 0-2 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 1-3 (7%) 0-3 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
VĂ©lez Sarsfield Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Vélez Sar… vs Independi… 1-1
Jan 27 Vélez Sar… vs Talleres … 2-1
Jan 23 Vélez Sar… vs Instituto… 0-1
Nov 22 Vélez Sar… vs Argentino… 0-2
Nov 16 Vélez Sar… vs River Pla… 0-0
Nov 10 Vélez Sar… vs Gimnasia … 2-0
Nov 01 Vélez Sar… vs Talleres … 0-1
Oct 19 Vélez Sar… vs Sarmiento… 0-2
Oct 12 Vélez Sar… vs Rosario C… 1-2
Oct 06 Vélez Sar… vs Deportivo… 2-2
Boca Juniors Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Boca Juni… vs Newell’s … 2-0
Jan 29 Boca Juni… vs Estudiant… 2-1
Jan 25 Boca Juni… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Dec 07 Boca Juni… vs Racing Cl… 0-1
Nov 30 Boca Juni… vs Argentino… 1-0
Nov 23 Boca Juni… vs Talleres … 2-0
Nov 16 Boca Juni… vs Tigre 2-0
Nov 09 Boca Juni… vs River Pla… 2-0
Nov 02 Boca Juni… vs Estudiant… 1-2
Oct 27 Boca Juni… vs Barracas … 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Boca Juniors in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 28, 2024 Boca Juniors 3 - 4 VĂ©lez Sarsfield Copa Argentina
Final Verdict

STANDARD: VĂ©lez Sarsfield to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
VĂ©lez Sarsfield Power 0
Boca Juniors Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

VĂ©lez Sarsfield Position

-2

Position Gap

1

Boca Juniors Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.