AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina Feb 08, 2026

Sarmiento de Junín

Home
VS
20:00

Atlético Tucumán

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Sarmiento de Junín Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Atlético Tucumán Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.16 - 0.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sarmiento de Junín Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
Atlético Tucumán Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Sarmiento de Junín Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Sarmiento… vs Independ.… 2-1
Jan 30 Sarmiento… vs Banfield 1-0
Jan 26 Sarmiento… vs Argentino… 1-0
Nov 15 Sarmiento… vs San Loren… 1-1
Nov 09 Sarmiento… vs Instituto… 2-1
Nov 03 Sarmiento… vs Platense 1-1
Nov 02 Sarmiento… vs Platense 0-1
Oct 24 Sarmiento… vs Rosario C… 0-1
Oct 19 Sarmiento… vs Platense 1-0
Oct 19 Sarmiento… vs Vélez Sar… 0-2
Atlético Tucumán Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Atlético … vs Huracan 1-1
Jan 28 Atlético … vs Central C… 0-0
Jan 24 Atlético … vs Independ.… 2-1
Nov 14 Atlético … vs Lanús 3-1
Nov 10 Atlético … vs Godoy Cruz 2-1
Nov 01 Atlético … vs Independi… 3-0
Oct 21 Atlético … vs San Loren… 1-2
Oct 12 Atlético … vs Instituto… 2-0
Oct 04 Atlético … vs Platense 2-0
Sep 29 Atlético … vs Vélez Sar… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 18, 2025 Sarmiento de Junín 2 - 2 Atlético Tucumán Liga Profesion…
Feb 14, 2025 Atlético Tucumán 5 - 0 Sarmiento de Junín Liga Profesion…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sarmiento de Junín to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sarmiento de Junín Power 0
Atlético Tucumán Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

29

Sarmiento de Junín Position

-6

Position Gap

23

Atlético Tucumán Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.