Division Profesional - Apertura · Feb 02, 2026 23:15

Cerro Porteño
PWR 57
2 - 0
FT

Sportivo Luqueño
PWR 45
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (21%) 1-0 (21%) 0-1 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack58
Defense67
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack30
Defense68
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G0.9
Cerro Porteño Form WDDWW
STABLE
Sportivo Luque… Form LWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.520%
BTTS27%
Under 2.580%
Cerro Porte… Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Sportivo Lu… Goals
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Cerro Porteño
vs
0.58
Sportivo Luque…
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum65%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Cerro Porte…
-2
Gap
#3
Sportivo Lu…
WR 45% 35 pts WR 36% 38 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Cerro Porteño20983331935
Sportivo Luqueño2810810242638
Cerro Porteño 16.0%
Jan 27 Cerro P… v Club Sp… 2-4
Jan 24 Cerro P… v Liberta… 1-1
Jan 17 Cerro P… v San Lor… 0-0
Dec 06 Cerro P… v General… 1-2
Nov 23 Cerro P… v Liberta… 1-0
Nov 09 Cerro P… v Sportiv… 0-0
Nov 02 Cerro P… v Club Gu… 1-0
Oct 27 Cerro P… v Naciona… 1-2
Oct 23 Cerro P… v General… 0-0
Oct 19 Cerro P… v Olimpia 1-1
Sportivo Luque… 8.0%
Jan 27 Sportiv… v Naciona… 1-2
Jan 23 Sportiv… v 2 de Ma… 1-2
Nov 21 Sportiv… v Olimpia 2-4
Nov 07 Sportiv… v Deporti… 2-3
Nov 02 Sportiv… v Sportiv… 0-1
Oct 25 Sportiv… v Atlétic… 1-1
Oct 17 Sportiv… v Sportiv… 1-0
Oct 12 Sportiv… v Naciona… 1-1
Oct 03 Sportiv… v 2 de Ma… 0-3
Sep 27 Sportiv… v Cerro P… 0-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Sep 27, 2025 Sportivo Luqu… 0-1 Cerro Porteño
Jul 20, 2025 Cerro Porteño 0-0 Sportivo Luqu…
Apr 12, 2025 Cerro Porteño 0-0 Sportivo Luqu…
Jan 29, 2025 Sportivo Luqu… 1-1 Cerro Porteño
Oct 05, 2024 Sportivo Luqu… 1-0 Cerro Porteño
Aug 04, 2024 Cerro Porteño 4-0 Sportivo Luqu…
Jun 02, 2024 Cerro Porteño 0-2 Sportivo Luqu…
Mar 14, 2024 Sportivo Luqu… 0-1 Cerro Porteño
Nov 03, 2023 Cerro Porteño 2-0 Sportivo Luqu…
Aug 20, 2023 Sportivo Luqu… 2-2 Cerro Porteño
Key Factors
Cerro Porteño in strong form (3W in last 5)
Sportivo Luqueño struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.