AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Feb 21, 2026

Portadown

Home
VS
17:30

Dungannon Swifts

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Portadown Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Dungannon Swifts Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.24 - 1.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 1.3
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Portadown Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Dungannon Swifts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Portadown Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Portadown vs Carrick R… 0-3
Jan 17 Portadown vs Bangor 1-0
Jan 13 Portadown vs Annagh Un… 4-2
Dec 30 Portadown vs Glentoran 2-1
Dec 26 Portadown vs Glentoran 1-0
Dec 20 Portadown vs Dungannon… 4-2
Dec 13 Portadown vs Ballymena… 1-0
Dec 06 Portadown vs Crusaders… 0-4
Nov 29 Portadown vs Cliftonvi… 2-3
Nov 22 Portadown vs Carrick R… 1-2
Dungannon Swifts Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 0-2
Jan 24 Dungannon… vs Carrick R… 5-1
Jan 17 Dungannon… vs Ballymena… 2-0
Jan 10 Dungannon… vs Ards 3-0
Jan 03 Dungannon… vs Crusaders… 2-0
Dec 30 Dungannon… vs Glenavon … 0-1
Dec 26 Dungannon… vs Bangor 1-0
Dec 20 Dungannon… vs Portadown 4-2
Dec 13 Dungannon… vs Carrick R… 3-3
Dec 06 Dungannon… vs Ballymena… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Portadown struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Dungannon Swifts struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 20, 2025 Dungannon Swifts 4 - 2 Portadown Premiership
Aug 16, 2025 Dungannon Swifts 1 - 4 Portadown Premiership
Mar 15, 2025 Portadown 1 - 1 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Oct 19, 2024 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 0 Portadown Premiership
Sep 13, 2024 Portadown 2 - 1 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Jul 18, 2023 Dungannon Swifts 1 - 2 Portadown Friendlies Clu…
Apr 22, 2023 Dungannon Swifts 3 - 2 Portadown Premiership
Feb 24, 2023 Portadown 3 - 1 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Jan 02, 2023 Portadown 0 - 0 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Oct 04, 2022 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 1 Portadown League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Portadown Power 0
Dungannon Swifts Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Portadown Position

-4

Position Gap

5

Dungannon Swifts Position
Home Win Rate: 39%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.