Azerbaijan Premier League · Feb 09, 2026 14:30

Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Karvan
PWR 35
61% H 22% D 17% A
Final Verdict
Turan Tovuz Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (17%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (14%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy77%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPAWAY_LEAKINGTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed (4 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Turan Tovuz Form WLWWL
STABLE
Karvan Form LLLDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS32%
Under 2.549%
Turan Tovuz Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Karvan Goals
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Turan Tovuz
vs
0.43
Karvan
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings78%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Turan Tovuz
+9
Gap
#12
Karvan
WR 50% 30 pts WR 13% 6 pts
Turan Tovuz 12.0%
Feb 05 Turan T… v Kəpəz 1-0
Feb 01 Turan T… v Qarabağ… 1-0
Jan 25 Turan T… v Sumqayıt 2-1
Dec 19 Turan T… v Kəpəz 0-2
Dec 13 Turan T… v Sabah FA 1-3
Dec 02 Turan T… v Şahdağ 1-2
Nov 28 Turan T… v Neftchi… 0-0
Nov 22 Turan T… v Araz 1-1
Nov 08 Turan T… v Zira 0-0
Nov 02 Turan T… v Şamaxı 2-1
Karvan 2.0%
Jan 30 Karvan v Sumqayıt 0-2
Jan 25 Karvan v Sabah FA 4-1
Dec 20 Karvan v Neftchi… 1-2
Dec 15 Karvan v Mil-Muğ… 1-1
Dec 07 Karvan v Şamaxı 0-3
Dec 03 Karvan v Qarabağ… 3-0
Nov 29 Karvan v Qarabağ… 2-0
Nov 21 Karvan v Kəpəz 1-2
Nov 08 Karvan v Araz 2-1
Nov 01 Karvan v Zira 2-3
Head-to-Head (1)
Oct 24, 2025 Karvan 1-2 Turan Tovuz
Key Factors
Turan Tovuz in strong form (3W in last 5)
Karvan struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.