Azerbaijan Premier League · Feb 09, 2026 14:30

Turan Tovuz
PWR 35

Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Karvan
PWR 35
PWR 35
61% H
22% D
17% A
Final Verdict
Turan Tovuz Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (17%)
3-0 (14%)
1-0 (14%)
2-1 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy77%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPAWAY_LEAKINGTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed (4 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Turan Tovuz Form
WLWWL
STABLE
Karvan Form
LLLDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS32%
Under 2.549%
Turan Tovuz Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Karvan Goals
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Turan Tovuzvs
0.43
KarvanDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings78%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Turan Tovuz+9
Gap#12
Karvan
WR 50% 30 pts
WR 13% 6 pts
Turan Tovuz
12.0%
| Feb 05 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Turan T… v Qarabağ… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Turan T… v Sumqayıt | 2-1 |
| Dec 19 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 0-2 |
| Dec 13 | Turan T… v Sabah FA | 1-3 |
| Dec 02 | Turan T… v Şahdağ | 1-2 |
| Nov 28 | Turan T… v Neftchi… | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | Turan T… v Araz | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Turan T… v Zira | 0-0 |
| Nov 02 | Turan T… v Şamaxı | 2-1 |
Karvan
2.0%
| Jan 30 | Karvan v Sumqayıt | 0-2 |
| Jan 25 | Karvan v Sabah FA | 4-1 |
| Dec 20 | Karvan v Neftchi… | 1-2 |
| Dec 15 | Karvan v Mil-Muğ… | 1-1 |
| Dec 07 | Karvan v Şamaxı | 0-3 |
| Dec 03 | Karvan v Qarabağ… | 3-0 |
| Nov 29 | Karvan v Qarabağ… | 2-0 |
| Nov 21 | Karvan v Kəpəz | 1-2 |
| Nov 08 | Karvan v Araz | 2-1 |
| Nov 01 | Karvan v Zira | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 24, 2025 | Karvan | 1-2 | Turan Tovuz |
Key Factors
Turan Tovuz in strong form (3W in last 5)
Karvan struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.