Azerbaijan Premier League · Feb 01, 2026 12:00
Neftchi Baku
PWR 35
Araz
PWR 35
PWR 35
0 - 4
FT
Neftchi Baku
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%)
2-0 (22%)
0-0 (15%)
3-0 (13%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 0-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 11.2% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Araz Form
DWLWL
STABLE
Neftchi Baku Form
DWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.530%
BTTS15%
Under 2.570%
Araz Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Neftchi Baku Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Arazvs
0.20
Neftchi BakuDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings55%
Market35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Araz+1
Gap#7
Neftchi Baku
WR 56% 27 pts
WR 44% 24 pts
Araz
10.0%
| Jan 23 | Araz v Mil-Muğ… | 2-2 |
| Dec 21 | Araz v Şamaxı | 2-0 |
| Dec 14 | Araz v Qarabağ… | 5-1 |
| Dec 09 | Araz v Kəpəz | 2-0 |
| Dec 04 | Araz v Kəpəz | 0-1 |
| Nov 30 | Araz v Qabala | 2-1 |
| Nov 22 | Araz v Turan T… | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Araz v Karvan | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Araz v Sumqayıt | 3-2 |
| Oct 25 | Araz v Sabah FA | 2-2 |
Neftchi Baku
8.0%
| Jan 23 | Neftchi… v Zira | 0-0 |
| Dec 20 | Neftchi… v Karvan | 1-2 |
| Dec 15 | Neftchi… v Sumqayıt | 2-2 |
| Dec 08 | Neftchi… v Sabah FA | 2-0 |
| Dec 02 | Neftchi… v Zira | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Neftchi… v Xorazm | 2-0 |
| Nov 28 | Neftchi… v Turan T… | 0-0 |
| Nov 23 | Neftchi… v Mil-Muğ… | 2-3 |
| Nov 22 | Neftchi… v Qizilqum | 4-1 |
| Nov 09 | Neftchi… v Qarabağ… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Oct 19, 2025 | Neftchi Baku | 2-2 | Araz |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Neftchi Baku | 1-1 | Araz |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Araz | 2-1 | Neftchi Baku |
| Nov 01, 2024 | Neftchi Baku | 0-1 | Araz |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Araz | 1-1 | Neftchi Baku |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Neftchi Baku | 3-0 | Araz |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Araz | 1-0 | Neftchi Baku |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Neftchi Baku | 1-1 | Araz |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Araz | 1-0 | Neftchi Baku |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.