A-League · Feb 22, 2026 07:00

Newcastle Jets
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Macarthur FC
PWR 35
63% H 21% D 16% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Newcastle Jets to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 3-3 (3%) 3-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Newcastle Jets Form WWWWW
UP
Macarthur FC Form DDWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.574%
BTTS81%
Under 2.526%
Newcastle J… Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
Macarthur FC Goals
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.58
Newcastle Jets
vs
1.82
Macarthur FC
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum90%
Standings57%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Newcastle J…
+2
Gap
#4
Macarthur FC
WR 50% 27 pts WR 38% 25 pts
Newcastle Jets 20.0%
Jan 31 Newcast… v Brisban… 4-1
Jan 23 Newcast… v Welling… 4-1
Jan 17 Newcast… v Western… 1-2
Jan 11 Newcast… v Melbour… 0-1
Jan 01 Newcast… v Auckland 1-3
Dec 26 Newcast… v Macarth… 4-5
Dec 20 Newcast… v Sydney 2-0
Dec 14 Newcast… v Welling… 1-3
Dec 06 Newcast… v Melbour… 0-1
Nov 30 Newcast… v Auckland 1-2
Macarthur FC 10.0%
Feb 06 Macarth… v Perth G… 2-2
Jan 30 Macarth… v Adelaid… 1-1
Jan 24 Macarth… v Melbour… 6-2
Jan 18 Macarth… v Central… 1-1
Jan 10 Macarth… v Sydney 0-3
Jan 05 Macarth… v Auckland 1-1
Jan 01 Macarth… v Western… 0-1
Dec 26 Macarth… v Newcast… 4-5
Dec 23 Macarth… v Melbour… 1-1
Dec 19 Macarth… v Brisban… 2-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 26, 2025 Newcastle Jets 4-5 Macarthur FC
Aug 24, 2025 Newcastle Jets 3-0 Macarthur FC
Mar 28, 2025 Macarthur FC 3-3 Newcastle Jets
Jan 12, 2025 Newcastle Jets 1-3 Macarthur FC
Oct 25, 2024 Macarthur FC 1-2 Newcastle Jets
Aug 25, 2024 Newcastle Jets 3-4 Macarthur FC
Feb 25, 2024 Newcastle Jets 2-2 Macarthur FC
Jan 05, 2024 Macarthur FC 1-1 Newcastle Jets
Apr 14, 2023 Newcastle Jets 2-1 Macarthur FC
Feb 18, 2023 Macarthur FC 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Key Factors
Newcastle Jets in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.