Primera DivisiĂłn - Clausura · Oct 19, 2024 22:30
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
Boston River
PWR 48
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
2 - 0
FT
Boston River
PWR 48
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Peñarol Montevideo to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (30%)
0-0 (26%)
2-0 (17%)
3-0 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack55
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Attack43
Defense65
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.0
Peñarol Montev… Form
DDLWW
STABLE
Boston River Form
LLLWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.515%
BTTS12%
Under 2.585%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Boston River Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Peñarol Montev…vs
0.20
Boston RiverDecision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Peñarol Mon…+6
Gap#7
Boston River
WR 60% 122 pts
WR 33% 43 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol Montevi… | 60 | 36 | 14 | 10 | 95 | 49 | 122 |
| Boston River | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 33 | 43 |
Peñarol Montev…
12.0%
| Sep 30 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 0-0 |
| Aug 04 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 1-1 |
| Jul 28 | Peñarol… v Danubio | 2-0 |
| Jul 27 | Peñarol… v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Jul 21 | Peñarol… v Fenix | 2-0 |
| Jul 21 | Peñarol… v Cerrito | 0-1 |
| Jul 14 | Peñarol… v River P… | 1-3 |
| Jul 13 | Peñarol… v Rampla … | 3-2 |
| Jul 06 | Peñarol… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Jul 06 | Peñarol… v Cerro L… | 1-0 |
Boston River
8.0%
| Sep 08 | Boston … v Danubio | 2-0 |
| Jul 28 | Boston … v Club Na… | 1-0 |
| Jul 21 | Boston … v Danubio | 1-2 |
| Jul 13 | Boston … v Miramar | 2-1 |
| Jul 06 | Boston … v Cerrito | 2-0 |
| Jun 23 | Boston … v Peñarol… | 1-0 |
| Jun 17 | Boston … v Cerro L… | 0-2 |
| Jun 11 | Boston … v Rampla … | 1-1 |
| Jun 04 | Boston … v Club Na… | 1-3 |
| Apr 20 | Boston … v Peñarol… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Jun 23, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-0 | Boston River |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Boston River | 1-3 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Feb 05, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-0 | Boston River |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-0 | Boston River |
| Sep 02, 2023 | Boston River | 0-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Boston River |
| Feb 20, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-0 | Boston River |
| Oct 12, 2022 | Boston River | 2-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
Key Factors
Boston River struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.