Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Apr 20, 2024 18:00
Boston River
PWR 35
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
Boston River
PWR 35
1 - 3
FT
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
23% H
29% D
48% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (39%)
0-1 (19%)
1-0 (18%)
1-1 (9%)
0-2 (5%)
2-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Boston River Form
DLLLL
STABLE
Peñarol Montev… Form
LWWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.57%
BTTS14%
Under 2.593%
Boston River Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
61%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.46
Boston Rivervs
0.49
Peñarol Montev…Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings42%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
Boston River-4
Gap#10
Peñarol Mon…
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Boston River
2.0%
| Feb 24 | Boston … v Danubio | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Boston … v Peñarol… | 2-0 |
| Dec 08 | Boston … v Plaza C… | 3-2 |
| Dec 03 | Boston … v Cerro L… | 0-1 |
| Nov 29 | Boston … v Peñarol… | 2-0 |
| Nov 24 | Boston … v Atletic… | 2-0 |
| Nov 20 | Boston … v Defenso… | 2-0 |
| Nov 16 | Boston … v La Luz | 1-2 |
| Oct 24 | Boston … v Danubio | 1-1 |
| Oct 19 | Boston … v Club Na… | 2-0 |
Peñarol Montev…
16.0%
| Apr 17 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 1-3 |
| Mar 15 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 1-2 |
| Feb 12 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 3-1 |
| Feb 06 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Peñarol… v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Dec 16 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 2-0 |
| Dec 09 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 0-1 |
| Dec 06 | Peñarol… v Rangers… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Feb 05, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-0 | Boston River |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-0 | Boston River |
| Sep 02, 2023 | Boston River | 0-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Boston River |
| Feb 20, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-0 | Boston River |
| Oct 12, 2022 | Boston River | 2-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
Key Factors
Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (4W in last 5)
Boston River struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.