Primera DivisiĂłn - Clausura · Sep 02, 2023 18:30
Boston River
PWR 48
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
Boston River
PWR 48
0 - 1
FT
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
27% H
29% D
44% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Peñarol Montevideo to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%)
1-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
2-0 (10%)
3-1 (6%)
3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_FORM_STRONGAWAY_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense65
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.0
Attack55
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Boston River Form
LWDLL
STABLE
Peñarol Montev… Form
WWWDW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS55%
Under 2.545%
Boston River Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Boston Rivervs
1.03
Peñarol Montev…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Boston River-6
Gap#1
Peñarol Mon…
WR 33% 43 pts
WR 60% 122 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston River | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 33 | 43 |
| Peñarol Montevi… | 60 | 36 | 14 | 10 | 95 | 49 | 122 |
Boston River
6.0%
| Jul 16 | Boston … v Peñarol… | 2-1 |
| Jul 02 | Boston … v Danubio | 1-0 |
| Mar 19 | Boston … v Danubio | 3-3 |
| Mar 10 | Boston … v Club Na… | 3-1 |
| Feb 20 | Boston … v Peñarol… | 1-0 |
| Oct 12 | Boston … v Peñarol… | 2-1 |
| Sep 14 | Boston … v Club Na… | 1-0 |
| Sep 10 | Boston … v Albion … | 1-0 |
| Jul 24 | Boston … v Club Na… | 2-0 |
| Apr 02 | Boston … v Albion … | 1-2 |
Peñarol Montev…
18.0%
| Jul 16 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 2-1 |
| Jul 03 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 2-0 |
| May 08 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 0-2 |
| Mar 12 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 2-2 |
| Feb 20 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 1-0 |
| Oct 12 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 2-1 |
| Sep 24 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 0-1 |
| Aug 08 | Peñarol… v Albion … | 1-1 |
| Jul 19 | Peñarol… v Albion … | 0-0 |
| Jun 12 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jul 16, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Boston River |
| Feb 20, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-0 | Boston River |
| Oct 12, 2022 | Boston River | 2-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
Key Factors
Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (4W in last 5)
Boston River struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.