Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Jul 16, 2023 18:00
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
Boston River
PWR 35
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Boston River
PWR 35
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (22%)
2-0 (16%)
0-0 (15%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Peñarol Montev… Form
WWDWL
STABLE
Boston River Form
WDLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.529%
BTTS26%
Under 2.571%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Boston River Goals
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Peñarol Montev…vs
0.41
Boston RiverDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings56%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Peñarol Mon…+4
Gap#14
Boston River
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Peñarol Montev…
14.0%
| Jul 03 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 2-0 |
| May 08 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 0-2 |
| Mar 12 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 2-2 |
| Feb 20 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 1-0 |
| Oct 12 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 2-1 |
| Sep 24 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 0-1 |
| Aug 08 | Peñarol… v Albion … | 1-1 |
| Jul 19 | Peñarol… v Albion … | 0-0 |
| Jun 12 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 1-2 |
| Apr 23 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 0-1 |
Boston River
10.0%
| Jul 02 | Boston … v Danubio | 1-0 |
| Mar 19 | Boston … v Danubio | 3-3 |
| Mar 10 | Boston … v Club Na… | 3-1 |
| Feb 20 | Boston … v Peñarol… | 1-0 |
| Oct 12 | Boston … v Peñarol… | 2-1 |
| Sep 14 | Boston … v Club Na… | 1-0 |
| Sep 10 | Boston … v Albion … | 1-0 |
| Jul 24 | Boston … v Club Na… | 2-0 |
| Apr 02 | Boston … v Albion … | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Feb 20, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-0 | Boston River |
| Oct 12, 2022 | Boston River | 2-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
Key Factors
Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.