Super League · Mar 16, 2025 15:30

FC Lugano
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

FC Winterthur
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
FC Lugano Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WON - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 12 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
COMBINED_ELITETOP3_VS_BOTTOMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (12 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC Lugano Form LLLLW
DOWN
FC Winterthur Form WWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.550%
BTTS48%
Under 2.550%
FC Lugano Goals
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
FC Winterth… Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
FC Lugano
vs
0.83
FC Winterthur
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings85%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
FC Lugano
+10
Gap
#12
FC Winterth…
WR 73% 41 pts WR 9% 14 pts
FC Lugano 4.0%
Mar 09 FC Luga… v FC Sion 2-1
Mar 02 FC Luga… v FC Zuri… 0-3
Feb 26 FC Luga… v Biel-Bi… 2-0
Feb 23 FC Luga… v BSC You… 1-0
Feb 15 FC Luga… v FC Luze… 2-0
Feb 08 FC Luga… v Grassho… 1-1
Feb 05 FC Luga… v FC St. … 2-1
Feb 01 FC Luga… v FC Sion 3-2
Jan 25 FC Luga… v FC Wint… 2-3
Jan 19 FC Luga… v FC Base… 2-2
FC Winterthur 8.0%
Mar 01 FC Wint… v FC St. … 4-0
Feb 15 FC Wint… v BSC You… 1-0
Feb 09 FC Wint… v FC Luze… 3-2
Feb 06 FC Wint… v FC Zuri… 0-2
Jan 25 FC Wint… v FC Luga… 2-3
Jan 18 FC Wint… v BSC You… 0-0
Jan 11 FC Wint… v FC Luze… 1-5
Dec 14 FC Wint… v FC Luze… 3-4
Dec 05 FC Wint… v Lausanne 0-3
Dec 01 FC Wint… v FC Sion 1-3
Head-to-Head (8)
Jan 25, 2025 FC Winterthur 2-3 FC Lugano
Sep 29, 2024 FC Lugano 2-1 FC Winterthur
May 16, 2024 FC Lugano 4-2 FC Winterthur
Apr 06, 2024 FC Winterthur 2-2 FC Lugano
Dec 10, 2023 FC Lugano 2-1 FC Winterthur
Sep 30, 2023 FC Winterthur 2-3 FC Lugano
May 14, 2023 FC Lugano 2-1 FC Winterthur
Feb 05, 2023 FC Winterthur 1-0 FC Lugano
Key Factors
FC Lugano struggling (4L in last 5)
FC Winterthur struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.