Super League · Dec 10, 2023 13:15

FC Lugano
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

FC Winterthur
PWR 35
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
FC Lugano Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 12 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
COMBINED_ELITETOP3_VS_BOTTOMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (12 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC Lugano Form LWLLW
STABLE
FC Winterthur Form LLLWL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.574%
BTTS76%
Under 2.526%
FC Lugano Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
FC Winterth… Goals
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
FC Lugano
vs
1.81
FC Winterthur
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings85%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
FC Lugano
+10
Gap
#12
FC Winterth…
WR 73% 41 pts WR 9% 14 pts
FC Lugano 8.0%
Dec 06 FC Luga… v FC Base… 1-3
Dec 03 FC Luga… v FC Luze… 1-0
Nov 12 FC Luga… v FC Zuri… 0-3
Nov 04 FC Luga… v Lausanne 3-1
Nov 01 FC Luga… v Lausanne 0-4
Oct 29 FC Luga… v BSC You… 1-1
Oct 22 FC Luga… v Grassho… 2-1
Oct 08 FC Luga… v Servett… 0-1
Sep 30 FC Luga… v FC Wint… 2-3
Sep 27 FC Luga… v Lausanne 2-1
FC Winterthur 4.0%
Nov 25 FC Wint… v FC Luze… 3-1
Nov 11 FC Wint… v FC St. … 4-2
Nov 04 FC Wint… v BSC You… 1-4
Oct 22 FC Wint… v FC St. … 2-1
Oct 07 FC Wint… v FC Zuri… 3-2
Sep 30 FC Wint… v FC Luga… 2-3
Sep 23 FC Wint… v Stade L… 2-1
Aug 27 FC Wint… v Lausanne 2-5
Aug 05 FC Wint… v BSC You… 5-2
Jul 30 FC Wint… v FC Base… 5-2
Head-to-Head (3)
Sep 30, 2023 FC Winterthur 2-3 FC Lugano
May 14, 2023 FC Lugano 2-1 FC Winterthur
Feb 05, 2023 FC Winterthur 1-0 FC Lugano
Key Factors
FC Lugano struggling (3L in last 5)
FC Winterthur struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.