Super League · Sep 30, 2023 16:00

FC Winterthur
PWR 35

FC Lugano
PWR 35

FC Winterthur
PWR 35
2 - 3
FT

FC Lugano
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
2-0 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC Winterthur Form
WWLLD
STABLE
FC Lugano Form
WLLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS68%
Under 2.533%
FC Winterth… Goals
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
FC Lugano Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
FC Winterthurvs
1.44
FC LuganoDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
FC Winterth…-10
Gap#2
FC Lugano
WR 18% 14 pts
WR 42% 41 pts
FC Winterthur
10.0%
| Sep 23 | FC Wint… v Stade L… | 2-1 |
| Aug 27 | FC Wint… v Lausanne | 2-5 |
| Aug 05 | FC Wint… v BSC You… | 5-2 |
| Jul 30 | FC Wint… v FC Base… | 5-2 |
| Jul 22 | FC Wint… v FC Luze… | 0-0 |
| May 29 | FC Wint… v BSC You… | 2-1 |
| May 14 | FC Wint… v FC Luga… | 2-1 |
| May 06 | FC Wint… v FC Sion | 0-1 |
| Apr 30 | FC Wint… v FC Base… | 1-4 |
| Apr 27 | FC Wint… v FC Luze… | 3-1 |
FC Lugano
8.0%
| Sep 27 | FC Luga… v Lausanne | 2-1 |
| Sep 24 | FC Luga… v BSC You… | 4-1 |
| Sep 03 | FC Luga… v FC Luze… | 3-2 |
| Aug 05 | FC Luga… v FC Zuri… | 3-0 |
| Jul 29 | FC Luga… v FC St. … | 1-0 |
| Jun 04 | FC Luga… v BSC You… | 3-2 |
| May 29 | FC Luga… v FC Zuri… | 2-3 |
| May 14 | FC Luga… v FC Wint… | 2-1 |
| May 07 | FC Luga… v FC Luze… | 2-2 |
| Apr 29 | FC Luga… v Grassho… | 5-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| May 14, 2023 | FC Lugano | 2-1 | FC Winterthur |
| Feb 05, 2023 | FC Winterthur | 1-0 | FC Lugano |
Key Factors
FC Lugano struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.