Super League · Sep 30, 2023 16:00

FC Winterthur
PWR 35
2 - 3
FT

FC Lugano
PWR 35
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC Winterthur Form WWLLD
STABLE
FC Lugano Form WLLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS68%
Under 2.533%
FC Winterth… Goals
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
FC Lugano Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
FC Winterthur
vs
1.44
FC Lugano
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
FC Winterth…
-10
Gap
#2
FC Lugano
WR 18% 14 pts WR 42% 41 pts
FC Winterthur 10.0%
Sep 23 FC Wint… v Stade L… 2-1
Aug 27 FC Wint… v Lausanne 2-5
Aug 05 FC Wint… v BSC You… 5-2
Jul 30 FC Wint… v FC Base… 5-2
Jul 22 FC Wint… v FC Luze… 0-0
May 29 FC Wint… v BSC You… 2-1
May 14 FC Wint… v FC Luga… 2-1
May 06 FC Wint… v FC Sion 0-1
Apr 30 FC Wint… v FC Base… 1-4
Apr 27 FC Wint… v FC Luze… 3-1
FC Lugano 8.0%
Sep 27 FC Luga… v Lausanne 2-1
Sep 24 FC Luga… v BSC You… 4-1
Sep 03 FC Luga… v FC Luze… 3-2
Aug 05 FC Luga… v FC Zuri… 3-0
Jul 29 FC Luga… v FC St. … 1-0
Jun 04 FC Luga… v BSC You… 3-2
May 29 FC Luga… v FC Zuri… 2-3
May 14 FC Luga… v FC Wint… 2-1
May 07 FC Luga… v FC Luze… 2-2
Apr 29 FC Luga… v Grassho… 5-1
Head-to-Head (2)
May 14, 2023 FC Lugano 2-1 FC Winterthur
Feb 05, 2023 FC Winterthur 1-0 FC Lugano
Key Factors
FC Lugano struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.