AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Division Intermedia Oct 04, 2025

Fernando de la Mora

Home
VS
18:00

Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Fernando de la Mora Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.81 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.7
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fernando de la Mora Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Fernando de la Mora Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 03 Fernando … vs Olimpia 0-3
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 22 Club Sp. … vs Encarnaci… 0-0
Sep 12 Club Sp. … vs Tacuary 1-0
Sep 07 Club Sp. … vs 12 de Jun… 1-1
Sep 03 Club Sp. … vs Tacuary 1-1
Aug 16 Club Sp. … vs Deportivo… 0-0
May 11 Club Sp. … vs Deportivo… 4-2
Jul 08 Club Sp. … vs Deportivo… 2-1
Mar 31 Club Sp. … vs Deportivo… 3-1
Sep 25 Club Sp. … vs Sportivo … 3-0
Jun 19 Club Sp. … vs Sportivo … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fernando de la Mora to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fernando de la Mora Power 0
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.