First Division · May 18, 2025 15:00
Pafos FC
PWR 35
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
Pafos FC
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Pafos FC to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (22%)
1-0 (20%)
3-0 (16%)
0-0 (9%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Pafos FC Form
DWWWL
STABLE
AEK Larnaca Form
WWDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.541%
BTTS16%
Under 2.559%
Pafos FC Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
AEK Larnaca Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Pafos FCvs
0.20
AEK LarnacaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Pafos FC-1
Gap#2
AEK Larnaca
WR 80% 40 pts
WR 60% 43 pts
Pafos FC
14.0%
| May 12 | Pafos FC v Apoel N… | 1-1 |
| May 07 | Pafos FC v Apollon… | 0-2 |
| May 04 | Pafos FC v Paris FC | 4-0 |
| Apr 30 | Pafos FC v Apollon… | 4-2 |
| Apr 26 | Pafos FC v Omonia … | 3-0 |
| Apr 22 | Pafos FC v Apollon… | 2-0 |
| Apr 13 | Pafos FC v AEK Lar… | 2-2 |
| Apr 06 | Pafos FC v Apoel N… | 0-1 |
| Apr 02 | Pafos FC v Paris FC | 0-1 |
| Mar 29 | Pafos FC v Omonia … | 3-1 |
AEK Larnaca
12.0%
| May 07 | AEK Lar… v Omonia … | 2-1 |
| May 04 | AEK Lar… v Apoel N… | 3-0 |
| Apr 30 | AEK Lar… v Omonia … | 0-0 |
| Apr 27 | AEK Lar… v Paris FC | 1-0 |
| Apr 22 | AEK Lar… v Omonia … | 1-1 |
| Apr 13 | AEK Lar… v Pafos FC | 2-2 |
| Apr 02 | AEK Lar… v Apoel N… | 0-1 |
| Mar 29 | AEK Lar… v Paris FC | 1-1 |
| Mar 16 | AEK Lar… v Omonia … | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | AEK Lar… v Omonia … | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Apr 13, 2025 | AEK Larnaca | 2-2 | Pafos FC |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Pafos FC | 0-1 | AEK Larnaca |
| Sep 01, 2024 | AEK Larnaca | 0-2 | Pafos FC |
| Apr 06, 2024 | AEK Larnaca | 3-0 | Pafos FC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Pafos FC | 0-1 | AEK Larnaca |
| Jan 22, 2024 | AEK Larnaca | 1-0 | Pafos FC |
Key Factors
Pafos FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.