Predictions Match Details
First Division · Apr 13, 2025 16:00

AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT

Pafos FC
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: AEK Larnaca to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
AEK Larnaca Form WDDLW
STABLE
Pafos FC Form LWWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.547%
BTTS42%
Under 2.553%
AEK Larnaca Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Pafos FC Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
AEK Larnaca
vs
0.67
Pafos FC
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings58%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
AEK Larnaca
+1
Gap
#3
Pafos FC
WR 70% 43 pts WR 50% 40 pts
AEK Larnaca 12.0%
Apr 02 AEK Lar… v Apoel N… 0-1
Mar 29 AEK Lar… v Paris FC 1-1
Mar 16 AEK Lar… v Omonia … 1-1
Mar 09 AEK Lar… v Omonia … 2-0
Feb 14 AEK Lar… v Enosis 4-1
Feb 09 AEK Lar… v Paris FC 1-1
Feb 02 AEK Lar… v AEL 2-0
Jan 29 AEK Lar… v Enosis 0-3
Jan 25 AEK Lar… v Anortho… 2-2
Jan 20 AEK Lar… v Apoel N… 2-1
Pafos FC 14.0%
Apr 06 Pafos FC v Apoel N… 0-1
Apr 02 Pafos FC v Paris FC 0-1
Mar 29 Pafos FC v Omonia … 3-1
Mar 16 Pafos FC v Apollon… 1-2
Mar 09 Pafos FC v Ethniko… 0-0
Mar 01 Pafos FC v Omonia … 2-1
Feb 24 Pafos FC v Apoel N… 0-2
Feb 20 Pafos FC v Omonia … 2-1
Feb 16 Pafos FC v Apollon… 1-0
Feb 13 Pafos FC v Omonia … 1-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Dec 22, 2024 Pafos FC 0-1 AEK Larnaca
Sep 01, 2024 AEK Larnaca 0-2 Pafos FC
Apr 06, 2024 AEK Larnaca 3-0 Pafos FC
Feb 25, 2024 Pafos FC 0-1 AEK Larnaca
Jan 22, 2024 AEK Larnaca 1-0 Pafos FC
Key Factors
Pafos FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.